Liga I·Regular Season - 30·
Liga I·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.333.21safe0.91–2.850.47–2.181.38–5.03safer0.66–3.100.25–2.410.90–5.51
Shots on target
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.714.5410.25safe3.85–7.572.80–6.296.65–13.86safer3.36–8.062.34–6.755.69–14.81
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1312.1928.32safe12.21–20.068.63–15.7520.83–35.81safer11.11–21.157.67–16.7118.78–37.86
Shots in box
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction10.527.6018.13safe7.58–13.474.92–10.2812.50–23.75safer6.75–14.294.18–11.0210.94–25.32
Blocked shots
63%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.743.308.05safe2.86–6.631.65–4.964.51–11.58safer2.32–7.171.16–5.453.48–12.62
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.294.1010.39safe4.08–8.512.10–6.106.18–14.61safer3.51–9.081.57–6.635.07–15.71
Possession %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction53.1247.15safe46.33–59.9140.36–53.93safer44.66–61.5838.69–55.60
Passes
71%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction501435937safe434–568369–502803–1070safer416–586352–519767–1106
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction73.6072.56safe69.57–77.6268.24–76.88safer68.27–78.9266.93–78.19
Fouls
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0710.5521.62safe8.23–13.907.61–13.5015.84–27.40safer7.47–14.666.86–14.2514.33–28.91
Offsides
45%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.212.74safe0.37–2.690.12–2.310.48–4.99safer0.06–2.990.00–2.590.00–5.58
Yellow cards
27%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.452.043.50safe0.40–2.500.91–3.171.32–5.67safer0.14–2.770.62–3.460.76–6.23
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.753.866.61safe1.31–4.192.30–5.413.61–9.60safer0.93–4.571.88–5.842.80–10.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.88 0.91–2.85 0.66–3.10 | 1.33 0.47–2.18 0.25–2.41 | 3.21 1.38–5.03 0.90–5.51 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.71 3.85–7.57 3.36–8.06 | 4.54 2.80–6.29 2.34–6.75 | 10.25 6.65–13.86 5.69–14.81 | 58% 30% |
| Total shots | 16.13 12.21–20.06 11.11–21.15 | 12.19 8.63–15.75 7.67–16.71 | 28.32 20.83–35.81 18.78–37.86 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 10.52 7.58–13.47 6.75–14.29 | 7.60 4.92–10.28 4.18–11.02 | 18.13 12.50–23.75 10.94–25.32 | 72% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.74 2.86–6.63 2.32–7.17 | 3.30 1.65–4.96 1.16–5.45 | 8.05 4.51–11.58 3.48–12.62 | 63% 24% |
| Corners | 6.29 4.08–8.51 3.51–9.08 | 4.10 2.10–6.10 1.57–6.63 | 10.39 6.18–14.61 5.07–15.71 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 53.12 46.33–59.91 44.66–61.58 | 47.15 40.36–53.93 38.69–55.60 | — | 62% 34% |
| Passes | 501 434–568 416–586 | 435 369–502 352–519 | 937 803–1070 767–1106 | 71% 29% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.60 69.57–77.62 68.27–78.92 | 72.56 68.24–76.88 66.93–78.19 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 11.07 8.23–13.90 7.47–14.66 | 10.55 7.61–13.50 6.86–14.25 | 21.62 15.84–27.40 14.33–28.91 | 50% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.06–2.99 | 1.21 0.12–2.31 0.00–2.59 | 2.74 0.48–4.99 0.00–5.58 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.50 0.14–2.77 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.50 1.32–5.67 0.76–6.23 | 27% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.75 1.31–4.19 0.93–4.57 | 3.86 2.30–5.41 1.88–5.84 | 6.61 3.61–9.60 2.80–10.41 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.