Liga I·Regular Season - 15·
Liga I·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
24%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.692.87safe0.22–2.150.83–2.541.05–4.69safer0.00–2.400.61–2.770.57–5.17
Shots on target
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.875.028.89safe2.01–5.733.28–6.765.29–12.50safer1.52–6.222.81–7.234.33–13.45
Total shots
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5014.2826.78safe8.58–16.4310.72–17.8419.30–34.27safer7.49–17.529.76–18.8017.25–36.32
Shots in box
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction7.988.5516.53safe5.04–10.925.87–11.2310.90–22.15safer4.21–11.755.13–11.969.34–23.72
Blocked shots
34%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.313.897.20safe1.43–5.192.23–5.543.66–10.73safer0.89–5.741.74–6.032.63–11.77
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.054.839.88safe2.84–7.272.82–6.835.66–14.09safer2.27–7.842.29–7.364.56–15.20
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction40.6659.33safe33.87–47.4552.54–66.11safer32.20–49.1250.87–67.78
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction345498842safe278–412431–564709–976safer259–430414–582673–1012
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction62.9674.39safe58.93–66.9970.07–78.72safer57.64–68.2868.76–80.03
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5611.6024.16safe9.73–15.408.65–14.5418.38–29.94safer8.97–16.167.90–15.2916.87–31.45
Offsides
54%
22%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.293.31safe0.86–3.180.20–2.391.05–5.56safer0.55–3.480.00–2.670.47–6.15
Yellow cards
39%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.062.094.15safe1.01–3.110.96–3.221.97–6.33safer0.74–3.370.67–3.511.41–6.89
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.130.27safe0.00–0.300.00–0.320.00–0.62safer0.00–0.450.00–0.450.00–0.90
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.372.796.17safe1.93–4.811.24–4.353.17–9.16safer1.55–5.190.81–4.782.36–9.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.22–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 1.69 0.83–2.54 0.61–2.77 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 27% 24% 49% |
| Shots on target | 3.87 2.01–5.73 1.52–6.22 | 5.02 3.28–6.76 2.81–7.23 | 8.89 5.29–12.50 4.33–13.45 | 29% 59% |
| Total shots | 12.50 8.58–16.43 7.49–17.52 | 14.28 10.72–17.84 9.76–18.80 | 26.78 19.30–34.27 17.25–36.32 | 33% 60% |
| Shots in box | 7.98 5.04–10.92 4.21–11.75 | 8.55 5.87–11.23 5.13–11.96 | 16.53 10.90–22.15 9.34–23.72 | 40% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.31 1.43–5.19 0.89–5.74 | 3.89 2.23–5.54 1.74–6.03 | 7.20 3.66–10.73 2.63–11.77 | 34% 15% 51% |
| Corners | 5.05 2.84–7.27 2.27–7.84 | 4.83 2.82–6.83 2.29–7.36 | 9.88 5.66–14.09 4.56–15.20 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 40.66 33.87–47.45 32.20–49.12 | 59.33 52.54–66.11 50.87–67.78 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 345 278–412 259–430 | 498 431–564 414–582 | 842 709–976 673–1012 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.96 58.93–66.99 57.64–68.28 | 74.39 70.07–78.72 68.76–80.03 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 12.56 9.73–15.40 8.97–16.16 | 11.60 8.65–14.54 7.90–15.29 | 24.16 18.38–29.94 16.87–31.45 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.55–3.48 | 1.29 0.20–2.39 0.00–2.67 | 3.31 1.05–5.56 0.47–6.15 | 54% 22% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 2.06 1.01–3.11 0.74–3.37 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 4.15 1.97–6.33 1.41–6.89 | 39% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 77% |
| GK saves | 3.37 1.93–4.81 1.55–5.19 | 2.79 1.24–4.35 0.81–4.78 | 6.17 3.17–9.16 2.36–9.97 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.