Liga I·Regular Season - 30·
Liga I·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
22%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.032.94safe0.94–2.880.18–1.881.12–4.76safer0.69–3.130.00–2.110.64–5.24
Shots on target
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.773.779.54safe3.91–7.632.03–5.515.94–13.15safer3.42–8.121.56–5.984.98–14.10
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9911.0327.02safe12.06–19.917.47–14.6019.53–34.51safer10.97–21.006.51–15.5517.48–36.56
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction10.066.6516.71safe7.11–13.003.97–9.3311.09–22.33safer6.28–13.833.23–10.079.52–23.90
Blocked shots
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.212.426.63safe2.33–6.100.76–4.073.09–10.16safer1.79–6.640.27–4.562.06–11.20
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.853.989.82safe3.63–8.061.98–5.985.61–14.04safer3.06–8.631.44–6.514.50–15.14
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.8337.86safe55.04–68.6231.08–44.65safer53.37–70.2929.41–46.32
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction543309853safe476–611243–376719–987safer458–629226–393684–1022
Pass accuracy %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction74.3067.64safe70.27–78.3363.32–71.97safer68.98–79.6262.01–73.27
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7013.5124.21safe7.86–13.5410.57–16.4618.43–29.99safer7.10–14.299.82–17.2116.92–31.50
Offsides
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.793.27safe0.31–2.630.70–2.891.01–5.52safer0.01–2.930.41–3.170.42–6.11
Yellow cards
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.334.03safe0.65–2.741.21–3.461.85–6.21safer0.38–3.010.91–3.751.29–6.76
Red cards
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.160.23safe0.00–0.230.00–0.350.00–0.58safer0.00–0.380.00–0.480.00–0.86
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.403.595.99safe0.96–3.842.03–5.142.99–8.98safer0.58–4.221.61–5.572.18–9.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.91 0.94–2.88 0.69–3.13 | 1.03 0.18–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 2.94 1.12–4.76 0.64–5.24 | 58% 22% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.77 3.91–7.63 3.42–8.12 | 3.77 2.03–5.51 1.56–5.98 | 9.54 5.94–13.15 4.98–14.10 | 69% 21% |
| Total shots | 15.99 12.06–19.91 10.97–21.00 | 11.03 7.47–14.60 6.51–15.55 | 27.02 19.53–34.51 17.48–36.56 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 10.06 7.11–13.00 6.28–13.83 | 6.65 3.97–9.33 3.23–10.07 | 16.71 11.09–22.33 9.52–23.90 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.21 2.33–6.10 1.79–6.64 | 2.42 0.76–4.07 0.27–4.56 | 6.63 3.09–10.16 2.06–11.20 | 69% 18% |
| Corners | 5.85 3.63–8.06 3.06–8.63 | 3.98 1.98–5.98 1.44–6.51 | 9.82 5.61–14.04 4.50–15.14 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 61.83 55.04–68.62 53.37–70.29 | 37.86 31.08–44.65 29.41–46.32 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 543 476–611 458–629 | 309 243–376 226–393 | 853 719–987 684–1022 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.30 70.27–78.33 68.98–79.62 | 67.64 63.32–71.97 62.01–73.27 | — | 79% 18% |
| Fouls | 10.70 7.86–13.54 7.10–14.29 | 13.51 10.57–16.46 9.82–17.21 | 24.21 18.43–29.99 16.92–31.50 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.01–2.93 | 1.79 0.70–2.89 0.41–3.17 | 3.27 1.01–5.52 0.42–6.11 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.65–2.74 0.38–3.01 | 2.33 1.21–3.46 0.91–3.75 | 4.03 1.85–6.21 1.29–6.76 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.40 0.96–3.84 0.58–4.22 | 3.59 2.03–5.14 1.61–5.57 | 5.99 2.99–8.98 2.18–9.79 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+