Liga I·Regular Season - 15·
Liga I·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
24%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.650.962.62safe0.69–2.620.11–1.820.80–4.44safer0.43–2.870.00–2.050.32–4.92
Shots on target
56%
13%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.883.958.83safe3.01–6.742.21–5.695.22–12.43safer2.52–7.231.74–6.164.27–13.39
Total shots
71%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9511.6126.57safe11.03–18.888.05–15.1819.08–34.05safer9.94–19.977.09–16.1417.03–36.10
Shots in box
72%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction9.766.8816.64safe6.82–12.704.20–9.5611.02–22.27safer5.99–13.533.46–10.309.45–23.83
Blocked shots
55%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.873.016.89safe1.99–5.761.36–4.663.35–10.42safer1.45–6.300.87–5.162.31–11.46
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.773.869.63safe3.55–7.981.86–5.865.41–13.84safer2.98–8.551.33–6.394.31–14.95
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction55.9944.76safe49.20–62.7837.97–51.54safer47.53–64.4536.30–53.21
Passes
81%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction491385877safe424–559319–452743–1010safer406–577301–469707–1046
Pass accuracy %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction76.0372.97safe72.00–80.0668.64–77.29safer70.71–81.3567.33–78.60
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2512.9025.15safe9.42–15.099.96–15.8519.37–30.94safer8.66–15.859.21–16.5917.87–32.44
Offsides
41%
25%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.302.75safe0.29–2.610.21–2.390.50–5.01safer0.00–2.910.00–2.680.00–5.59
Yellow cards
26%
18%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.624.42safe0.75–2.841.49–3.752.24–6.60safer0.48–3.111.20–4.041.68–7.15
Red cards
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.160.25safe0.00–0.240.00–0.350.00–0.59safer0.00–0.390.00–0.480.00–0.88
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.753.306.05safe1.31–4.191.75–4.863.06–9.05safer0.93–4.571.32–5.282.25–9.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.65 0.69–2.62 0.43–2.87 | 0.96 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 2.62 0.80–4.44 0.32–4.92 | 54% 24% 22% |
| Shots on target | 4.88 3.01–6.74 2.52–7.23 | 3.95 2.21–5.69 1.74–6.16 | 8.83 5.22–12.43 4.27–13.39 | 56% 13% 31% |
| Total shots | 14.95 11.03–18.88 9.94–19.97 | 11.61 8.05–15.18 7.09–16.14 | 26.57 19.08–34.05 17.03–36.10 | 71% 23% |
| Shots in box | 9.76 6.82–12.70 5.99–13.53 | 6.88 4.20–9.56 3.46–10.30 | 16.64 11.02–22.27 9.45–23.83 | 72% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 3.87 1.99–5.76 1.45–6.30 | 3.01 1.36–4.66 0.87–5.16 | 6.89 3.35–10.42 2.31–11.46 | 55% 15% 30% |
| Corners | 5.77 3.55–7.98 2.98–8.55 | 3.86 1.86–5.86 1.33–6.39 | 9.63 5.41–13.84 4.31–14.95 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 55.99 49.20–62.78 47.53–64.45 | 44.76 37.97–51.54 36.30–53.21 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 491 424–559 406–577 | 385 319–452 301–469 | 877 743–1010 707–1046 | 81% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.03 72.00–80.06 70.71–81.35 | 72.97 68.64–77.29 67.33–78.60 | — | 63% 32% |
| Fouls | 12.25 9.42–15.09 8.66–15.85 | 12.90 9.96–15.85 9.21–16.59 | 25.15 19.37–30.94 17.87–32.44 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 1.30 0.21–2.39 0.00–2.68 | 2.75 0.50–5.01 0.00–5.59 | 41% 25% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.75–2.84 0.48–3.11 | 2.62 1.49–3.75 1.20–4.04 | 4.42 2.24–6.60 1.68–7.15 | 26% 18% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.25 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.88 | 79% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.75 1.31–4.19 0.93–4.57 | 3.30 1.75–4.86 1.32–5.28 | 6.05 3.06–9.05 2.25–9.86 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+