Liga I·Regular Season - 30·
Liga I·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
25%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.482.72safe0.27–2.210.63–2.340.90–4.55safer0.02–2.460.40–2.560.42–5.03
Shots on target
42%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.564.649.20safe2.70–6.422.89–6.385.59–12.80safer2.21–6.912.43–6.854.64–13.76
Total shots
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2713.3527.61safe10.34–18.199.78–16.9120.13–35.10safer9.25–19.288.83–17.8718.08–37.15
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction8.618.5917.21safe5.67–11.565.91–11.2711.58–22.83safer4.84–12.395.17–12.0110.02–24.40
Blocked shots
43%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.683.667.33safe1.79–5.562.01–5.313.80–10.87safer1.25–6.101.51–5.802.76–11.90
Corners
46%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.984.839.81safe2.77–7.202.83–6.835.60–14.02safer2.20–7.772.29–7.364.49–15.13
Possession %
34%
62%
homeawayprediction46.9853.19safe40.19–53.7746.40–59.97safer38.52–55.4444.73–61.65
Passes
36%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction408451859safe340–475384–517725–992safer322–493367–535689–1028
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction72.1077.02safe68.07–76.1372.70–81.34safer66.78–77.4271.39–82.65
Fouls
43%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7513.1925.95safe9.92–15.5910.25–16.1420.17–31.73safer9.16–16.359.50–16.8918.66–33.24
Offsides
44%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.312.92safe0.45–2.770.22–2.400.67–5.17safer0.15–3.070.00–2.690.08–5.76
Yellow cards
40%
20%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.122.094.20safe1.07–3.170.96–3.222.02–6.38safer0.80–3.430.67–3.511.47–6.94
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.130.24safe0.00–0.270.00–0.310.00–0.59safer0.00–0.420.00–0.450.00–0.87
GK saves
40%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.963.086.05safe1.53–4.401.53–4.643.06–9.04safer1.14–4.791.10–5.072.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.21 0.02–2.46 | 1.48 0.63–2.34 0.40–2.56 | 2.72 0.90–4.55 0.42–5.03 | 32% 25% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.56 2.70–6.42 2.21–6.91 | 4.64 2.89–6.38 2.43–6.85 | 9.20 5.59–12.80 4.64–13.76 | 42% 13% 44% |
| Total shots | 14.27 10.34–18.19 9.25–19.28 | 13.35 9.78–16.91 8.83–17.87 | 27.61 20.13–35.10 18.08–37.15 | 53% 39% |
| Shots in box | 8.61 5.67–11.56 4.84–12.39 | 8.59 5.91–11.27 5.17–12.01 | 17.21 11.58–22.83 10.02–24.40 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.68 1.79–5.56 1.25–6.10 | 3.66 2.01–5.31 1.51–5.80 | 7.33 3.80–10.87 2.76–11.90 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Corners | 4.98 2.77–7.20 2.20–7.77 | 4.83 2.83–6.83 2.29–7.36 | 9.81 5.60–14.02 4.49–15.13 | 46% 42% |
| Possession % | 46.98 40.19–53.77 38.52–55.44 | 53.19 46.40–59.97 44.73–61.65 | — | 34% 62% |
| Passes | 408 340–475 322–493 | 451 384–517 367–535 | 859 725–992 689–1028 | 36% 64% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.10 68.07–76.13 66.78–77.42 | 77.02 72.70–81.34 71.39–82.65 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 12.75 9.92–15.59 9.16–16.35 | 13.19 10.25–16.14 9.50–16.89 | 25.95 20.17–31.73 18.66–33.24 | 43% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 1.31 0.22–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 2.92 0.67–5.17 0.08–5.76 | 44% 24% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.17 0.80–3.43 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 4.20 2.02–6.38 1.47–6.94 | 40% 20% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.96 1.53–4.40 1.14–4.79 | 3.08 1.53–4.64 1.10–5.07 | 6.05 3.06–9.04 2.24–9.85 | 40% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.