Liga I·Regular Season - 15·
Liga I·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.122.79safe0.70–2.640.27–1.980.97–4.61safer0.45–2.890.04–2.200.49–5.09
Shots on target
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.784.4610.24safe3.91–7.642.72–6.206.63–13.84safer3.43–8.132.25–6.675.67–14.80
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1512.3528.50safe12.22–20.078.79–15.9121.01–35.99safer11.13–21.177.83–16.8718.96–38.04
Shots in box
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction10.267.3617.62safe7.32–13.214.67–10.0412.00–23.24safer6.49–14.043.94–10.7710.43–24.81
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.333.367.69safe2.44–6.211.71–5.024.15–11.23safer1.90–6.751.22–5.513.12–12.26
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.994.4010.39safe3.78–8.202.40–6.406.18–14.61safer3.20–8.781.87–6.945.07–15.72
Possession %
60%
36%
homeawayprediction52.6247.50safe45.83–59.4140.71–54.28safer44.16–61.0839.04–55.95
Passes
66%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction418367785safe351–485300–433651–918safer332–503283–451615–954
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction69.5369.10safe65.50–73.5664.78–73.43safer64.20–74.8563.47–74.74
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1814.8227.00safe9.34–15.0211.88–17.7721.22–32.78safer8.59–15.7711.13–18.5119.71–34.29
Offsides
51%
22%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.403.37safe0.81–3.130.31–2.501.12–5.62safer0.50–3.430.02–2.780.53–6.21
Yellow cards
31%
18%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.102.634.73safe1.05–3.151.50–3.762.55–6.91safer0.78–3.411.21–4.052.00–7.47
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.140.24safe0.00–0.260.00–0.320.00–0.58safer0.00–0.410.00–0.460.00–0.87
GK saves
28%
14%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.054.087.14safe1.62–4.492.53–5.644.14–10.13safer1.23–4.882.10–6.063.33–10.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.70–2.64 0.45–2.89 | 1.12 0.27–1.98 0.04–2.20 | 2.79 0.97–4.61 0.49–5.09 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.78 3.91–7.64 3.43–8.13 | 4.46 2.72–6.20 2.25–6.67 | 10.24 6.63–13.84 5.67–14.80 | 60% 28% |
| Total shots | 16.15 12.22–20.07 11.13–21.17 | 12.35 8.79–15.91 7.83–16.87 | 28.50 21.01–35.99 18.96–38.04 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 10.26 7.32–13.21 6.49–14.04 | 7.36 4.67–10.04 3.94–10.77 | 17.62 12.00–23.24 10.43–24.81 | 72% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.33 2.44–6.21 1.90–6.75 | 3.36 1.71–5.02 1.22–5.51 | 7.69 4.15–11.23 3.12–12.26 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 5.99 3.78–8.20 3.20–8.78 | 4.40 2.40–6.40 1.87–6.94 | 10.39 6.18–14.61 5.07–15.72 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 52.62 45.83–59.41 44.16–61.08 | 47.50 40.71–54.28 39.04–55.95 | — | 60% 36% |
| Passes | 418 351–485 332–503 | 367 300–433 283–451 | 785 651–918 615–954 | 66% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.53 65.50–73.56 64.20–74.85 | 69.10 64.78–73.43 63.47–74.74 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 12.18 9.34–15.02 8.59–15.77 | 14.82 11.88–17.77 11.13–18.51 | 27.00 21.22–32.78 19.71–34.29 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.13 0.50–3.43 | 1.40 0.31–2.50 0.02–2.78 | 3.37 1.12–5.62 0.53–6.21 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 2.10 1.05–3.15 0.78–3.41 | 2.63 1.50–3.76 1.21–4.05 | 4.73 2.55–6.91 2.00–7.47 | 31% 18% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.05 1.62–4.49 1.23–4.88 | 4.08 2.53–5.64 2.10–6.06 | 7.14 4.14–10.13 3.33–10.94 | 28% 14% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+