Liga I·Regular Season - 30·
Liga I·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
25%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.382.78safe0.43–2.370.53–2.240.96–4.61safer0.18–2.620.30–2.470.48–5.09
Shots on target
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.895.1710.06safe3.03–6.753.43–6.916.45–13.66safer2.54–7.242.96–7.385.50–14.62
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2814.3928.67safe10.35–18.2010.83–17.9521.18–36.16safer9.26–19.299.87–18.9119.13–38.21
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction9.178.8318.01safe6.23–12.126.15–11.5212.39–23.63safer5.40–12.955.42–12.2510.82–25.20
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.833.257.08safe1.94–5.711.60–4.913.54–10.61safer1.40–6.251.11–5.402.51–11.65
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.764.9010.65safe3.54–7.972.90–6.906.44–14.87safer2.97–8.542.37–7.435.33–15.97
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction49.4950.84safe42.70–56.2844.05–57.62safer41.03–57.9542.38–59.29
Passes
49%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction406409815safe339–473343–476681–949safer321–491325–493646–984
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction66.7272.05safe62.69–70.7567.72–76.37safer61.40–72.0566.41–77.68
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1512.2525.41safe10.31–15.999.31–15.2019.62–31.19safer9.56–16.748.56–15.9518.12–32.69
Offsides
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.923.70safe0.62–2.940.83–3.011.45–5.95safer0.32–3.240.54–3.300.86–6.54
Yellow cards
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.943.90safe0.91–3.010.81–3.071.72–6.07safer0.64–3.270.52–3.361.16–6.63
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.120.25safe0.00–0.280.00–0.310.00–0.59safer0.00–0.430.00–0.440.00–0.88
GK saves
43%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.383.356.72safe1.94–4.811.79–4.903.73–9.72safer1.55–5.201.37–5.332.92–10.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 1.38 0.53–2.24 0.30–2.47 | 2.78 0.96–4.61 0.48–5.09 | 38% 25% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.89 3.03–6.75 2.54–7.24 | 5.17 3.43–6.91 2.96–7.38 | 10.06 6.45–13.66 5.50–14.62 | 40% 47% |
| Total shots | 14.28 10.35–18.20 9.26–19.29 | 14.39 10.83–17.95 9.87–18.91 | 28.67 21.18–36.16 19.13–38.21 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 9.17 6.23–12.12 5.40–12.95 | 8.83 6.15–11.52 5.42–12.25 | 18.01 12.39–23.63 10.82–25.20 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.83 1.94–5.71 1.40–6.25 | 3.25 1.60–4.91 1.11–5.40 | 7.08 3.54–10.61 2.51–11.65 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.76 3.54–7.97 2.97–8.54 | 4.90 2.90–6.90 2.37–7.43 | 10.65 6.44–14.87 5.33–15.97 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 49.49 42.70–56.28 41.03–57.95 | 50.84 44.05–57.62 42.38–59.29 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 406 339–473 321–491 | 409 343–476 325–493 | 815 681–949 646–984 | 49% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.72 62.69–70.75 61.40–72.05 | 72.05 67.72–76.37 66.41–77.68 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 13.15 10.31–15.99 9.56–16.74 | 12.25 9.31–15.20 8.56–15.95 | 25.41 19.62–31.19 18.12–32.69 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.92 0.83–3.01 0.54–3.30 | 3.70 1.45–5.95 0.86–6.54 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.01 0.64–3.27 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.90 1.72–6.07 1.16–6.63 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.25 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.38 1.94–4.81 1.55–5.20 | 3.35 1.79–4.90 1.37–5.33 | 6.72 3.73–9.72 2.92–10.53 | 43% 16% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.