Liga I·Regular Season - 15·
Liga I·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
26%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.042.51safe0.50–2.440.19–1.890.69–4.33safer0.25–2.690.00–2.120.21–4.81
Shots on target
58%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.134.019.14safe3.27–6.992.27–5.755.53–12.74safer2.78–7.481.80–6.224.58–13.70
Total shots
70%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7512.4428.19safe11.82–19.678.88–16.0020.70–35.68safer10.73–20.777.92–16.9618.65–37.73
Shots in box
63%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction9.327.4916.81safe6.38–12.264.81–10.1711.19–22.44safer5.55–13.094.07–10.919.62–24.00
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.863.157.01safe1.97–5.741.50–4.803.47–10.54safer1.43–6.281.01–5.302.44–11.58
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.634.369.99safe3.41–7.842.36–6.365.78–14.20safer2.84–8.421.83–6.904.67–15.31
Possession %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction56.5943.53safe49.80–63.3836.74–50.31safer48.13–65.0535.07–51.98
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction522364886safe455–590297–430752–1020safer437–608280–448717–1055
Pass accuracy %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction71.9767.62safe67.94–76.0063.29–71.94safer66.65–77.3061.98–73.25
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9313.2126.15safe10.09–15.7710.27–16.1620.36–31.93safer9.34–16.539.52–16.9118.86–33.43
Offsides
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.353.00safe0.49–2.810.25–2.440.75–5.25safer0.19–3.110.00–2.730.16–5.84
Yellow cards
30%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.203.91safe0.66–2.761.07–3.321.73–6.09safer0.40–3.030.78–3.621.17–6.64
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.733.636.37safe1.29–4.172.08–5.193.37–9.36safer0.91–4.551.65–5.622.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.50–2.44 0.25–2.69 | 1.04 0.19–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 2.51 0.69–4.33 0.21–4.81 | 47% 26% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.13 3.27–6.99 2.78–7.48 | 4.01 2.27–5.75 1.80–6.22 | 9.14 5.53–12.74 4.58–13.70 | 58% 29% |
| Total shots | 15.75 11.82–19.67 10.73–20.77 | 12.44 8.88–16.00 7.92–16.96 | 28.19 20.70–35.68 18.65–37.73 | 70% 24% |
| Shots in box | 9.32 6.38–12.26 5.55–13.09 | 7.49 4.81–10.17 4.07–10.91 | 16.81 11.19–22.44 9.62–24.00 | 63% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 3.86 1.97–5.74 1.43–6.28 | 3.15 1.50–4.80 1.01–5.30 | 7.01 3.47–10.54 2.44–11.58 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.63 3.41–7.84 2.84–8.42 | 4.36 2.36–6.36 1.83–6.90 | 9.99 5.78–14.20 4.67–15.31 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 56.59 49.80–63.38 48.13–65.05 | 43.53 36.74–50.31 35.07–51.98 | — | 76% 20% |
| Passes | 522 455–590 437–608 | 364 297–430 280–448 | 886 752–1020 717–1055 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.97 67.94–76.00 66.65–77.30 | 67.62 63.29–71.94 61.98–73.25 | — | 69% 27% |
| Fouls | 12.93 10.09–15.77 9.34–16.53 | 13.21 10.27–16.16 9.52–16.91 | 26.15 20.36–31.93 18.86–33.43 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 1.35 0.25–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 3.00 0.75–5.25 0.16–5.84 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.40–3.03 | 2.20 1.07–3.32 0.78–3.62 | 3.91 1.73–6.09 1.17–6.64 | 30% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.73 1.29–4.17 0.91–4.55 | 3.63 2.08–5.19 1.65–5.62 | 6.37 3.37–9.36 2.56–10.17 | 29% 15% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.