Liga I·Regular Season - 30·
Liga I·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.533.10safe0.61–2.540.67–2.381.28–4.92safer0.36–2.800.44–2.610.80–5.40
Shots on target
43%
13%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.724.729.45safe2.86–6.592.98–6.465.84–13.05safer2.37–7.082.51–6.934.88–14.01
Total shots
49%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5014.2028.70safe10.58–18.4210.63–17.7621.21–36.18safer9.48–19.529.67–18.7219.16–38.23
Shots in box
50%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction8.808.2617.05safe5.85–11.745.58–10.9411.43–22.68safer5.02–12.574.84–11.689.86–24.24
Blocked shots
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.483.797.27safe1.60–5.372.13–5.443.74–10.81safer1.06–5.911.64–5.932.70–11.84
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.164.799.95safe2.95–7.382.79–6.795.74–14.16safer2.38–7.952.25–7.324.63–15.27
Possession %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction42.8256.60safe36.03–49.6149.82–63.39safer34.36–51.2848.15–65.06
Passes
15%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction381504885safe314–448437–570751–1019safer296–466420–588716–1054
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction65.4174.74safe61.38–69.4470.42–79.07safer60.09–70.7369.11–80.38
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6912.2224.91safe9.86–15.539.28–15.1719.13–30.70safer9.10–16.298.53–15.9217.63–32.20
Offsides
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.483.07safe0.43–2.750.39–2.580.82–5.33safer0.13–3.050.10–2.870.23–5.91
Yellow cards
42%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.743.61safe0.82–2.920.62–2.871.43–5.79safer0.55–3.180.32–3.160.88–6.35
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
42%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.203.186.39safe1.77–4.641.63–4.743.40–9.38safer1.38–5.031.20–5.162.58–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.58 0.61–2.54 0.36–2.80 | 1.53 0.67–2.38 0.44–2.61 | 3.10 1.28–4.92 0.80–5.40 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.72 2.86–6.59 2.37–7.08 | 4.72 2.98–6.46 2.51–6.93 | 9.45 5.84–13.05 4.88–14.01 | 43% 13% 43% |
| Total shots | 14.50 10.58–18.42 9.48–19.52 | 14.20 10.63–17.76 9.67–18.72 | 28.70 21.21–36.18 19.16–38.23 | 49% 44% |
| Shots in box | 8.80 5.85–11.74 5.02–12.57 | 8.26 5.58–10.94 4.84–11.68 | 17.05 11.43–22.68 9.86–24.24 | 50% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 3.48 1.60–5.37 1.06–5.91 | 3.79 2.13–5.44 1.64–5.93 | 7.27 3.74–10.81 2.70–11.84 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 5.16 2.95–7.38 2.38–7.95 | 4.79 2.79–6.79 2.25–7.32 | 9.95 5.74–14.16 4.63–15.27 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 42.82 36.03–49.61 34.36–51.28 | 56.60 49.82–63.39 48.15–65.06 | — | 19% 78% |
| Passes | 381 314–448 296–466 | 504 437–570 420–588 | 885 751–1019 716–1054 | 15% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.41 61.38–69.44 60.09–70.73 | 74.74 70.42–79.07 69.11–80.38 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 12.69 9.86–15.53 9.10–16.29 | 12.22 9.28–15.17 8.53–15.92 | 24.91 19.13–30.70 17.63–32.20 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 1.48 0.39–2.58 0.10–2.87 | 3.07 0.82–5.33 0.23–5.91 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.55–3.18 | 1.74 0.62–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 3.61 1.43–5.79 0.88–6.35 | 42% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.20 1.77–4.64 1.38–5.03 | 3.18 1.63–4.74 1.20–5.16 | 6.39 3.40–9.38 2.58–10.19 | 42% 16% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.