Liga I·Regular Season - 15·
Liga I·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
22%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction1.920.912.83safe0.95–2.880.06–1.771.01–4.65safer0.70–3.140.00–2.000.53–5.13
Shots on target
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.133.569.69safe4.27–7.991.82–5.306.09–13.30safer3.78–8.481.35–5.775.13–14.25
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction17.7810.7128.49safe13.86–21.717.14–14.2721.00–35.98safer12.76–22.806.19–15.2318.95–38.03
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.826.2518.06safe8.87–14.763.57–8.9312.44–23.69safer8.04–15.592.83–9.6610.87–25.25
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.832.877.70safe2.95–6.711.21–4.524.16–11.23safer2.40–7.260.72–5.013.13–12.27
Corners
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.703.8210.52safe4.49–8.911.82–5.826.31–14.73safer3.91–9.491.29–6.355.20–15.84
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction54.8244.50safe48.03–61.6137.71–51.28safer46.36–63.2836.04–52.95
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction438346784safe371–505279–412650–918safer353–524262–430615–953
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction69.4067.90safe65.37–73.4363.58–72.23safer64.08–74.7262.27–73.54
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8412.1725.01safe10.01–15.689.22–15.1119.23–30.79safer9.25–16.448.47–15.8617.72–32.30
Offsides
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.613.39safe0.62–2.940.52–2.711.14–5.65safer0.32–3.240.23–2.990.55–6.23
Yellow cards
29%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.552.063.61safe0.50–2.600.93–3.191.43–5.79safer0.24–2.870.64–3.480.88–6.35
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.130.18safe0.00–0.210.00–0.320.00–0.53safer0.00–0.360.00–0.450.00–0.81
GK saves
19%
13%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.454.126.58safe1.02–3.892.57–5.683.58–9.57safer0.63–4.282.14–6.102.77–10.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.92 0.95–2.88 0.70–3.14 | 0.91 0.06–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 61% 22% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.13 4.27–7.99 3.78–8.48 | 3.56 1.82–5.30 1.35–5.77 | 9.69 6.09–13.30 5.13–14.25 | 75% 16% |
| Total shots | 17.78 13.86–21.71 12.76–22.80 | 10.71 7.14–14.27 6.19–15.23 | 28.49 21.00–35.98 18.95–38.03 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 11.82 8.87–14.76 8.04–15.59 | 6.25 3.57–8.93 2.83–9.66 | 18.06 12.44–23.69 10.87–25.25 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.83 2.95–6.71 2.40–7.26 | 2.87 1.21–4.52 0.72–5.01 | 7.70 4.16–11.23 3.13–12.27 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 6.70 4.49–8.91 3.91–9.49 | 3.82 1.82–5.82 1.29–6.35 | 10.52 6.31–14.73 5.20–15.84 | 77% 15% |
| Possession % | 54.82 48.03–61.61 46.36–63.28 | 44.50 37.71–51.28 36.04–52.95 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 438 371–505 353–524 | 346 279–412 262–430 | 784 650–918 615–953 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.40 65.37–73.43 64.08–74.72 | 67.90 63.58–72.23 62.27–73.54 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 12.84 10.01–15.68 9.25–16.44 | 12.17 9.22–15.11 8.47–15.86 | 25.01 19.23–30.79 17.72–32.30 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.61 0.52–2.71 0.23–2.99 | 3.39 1.14–5.65 0.55–6.23 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.61 1.43–5.79 0.88–6.35 | 29% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.45 1.02–3.89 0.63–4.28 | 4.12 2.57–5.68 2.14–6.10 | 6.58 3.58–9.57 2.77–10.38 | 19% 13% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.