Liga I·Regular Season - 30·
Liga I·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.723.08safe0.39–2.330.86–2.571.25–4.90safer0.14–2.580.63–2.800.77–5.38
Shots on target
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.555.5910.14safe2.69–6.413.84–7.336.53–13.74safer2.20–6.903.38–7.795.58–14.70
Total shots
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1915.7428.93safe9.26–17.1112.18–19.3021.44–36.42safer8.17–18.2011.22–20.2619.39–38.47
Shots in box
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction7.8610.0717.93safe4.91–10.807.39–12.7512.30–23.55safer4.08–11.636.65–13.4910.74–25.12
Blocked shots
29%
14%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.394.447.84safe1.51–5.272.79–6.104.30–11.37safer0.97–5.822.30–6.593.27–12.41
Corners
38%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction5.015.5410.55safe2.80–7.233.54–7.546.34–14.76safer2.23–7.803.00–8.075.23–15.87
Possession %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction46.7153.94safe39.92–53.5047.16–60.73safer38.25–55.1745.48–62.40
Passes
34%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction374422796safe306–441355–488662–929safer288–459338–506626–965
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction63.8872.49safe59.85–67.9168.17–76.82safer58.56–69.2066.86–78.13
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7412.5824.32safe8.90–14.589.64–15.5318.54–30.10safer8.15–15.338.89–16.2817.03–31.61
Offsides
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.593.33safe0.58–2.900.50–2.681.08–5.58safer0.28–3.200.21–2.970.49–6.17
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.893.56safe0.62–2.720.76–3.021.39–5.74safer0.36–2.990.47–3.310.83–6.30
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.703.026.72safe2.26–5.141.47–4.583.73–9.71safer1.88–5.521.04–5.002.92–10.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 1.72 0.86–2.57 0.63–2.80 | 3.08 1.25–4.90 0.77–5.38 | 31% 24% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.55 2.69–6.41 2.20–6.90 | 5.59 3.84–7.33 3.38–7.79 | 10.14 6.53–13.74 5.58–14.70 | 31% 57% |
| Total shots | 13.19 9.26–17.11 8.17–18.20 | 15.74 12.18–19.30 11.22–20.26 | 28.93 21.44–36.42 19.39–38.47 | 28% 65% |
| Shots in box | 7.86 4.91–10.80 4.08–11.63 | 10.07 7.39–12.75 6.65–13.49 | 17.93 12.30–23.55 10.74–25.12 | 26% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 3.39 1.51–5.27 0.97–5.82 | 4.44 2.79–6.10 2.30–6.59 | 7.84 4.30–11.37 3.27–12.41 | 29% 14% 58% |
| Corners | 5.01 2.80–7.23 2.23–7.80 | 5.54 3.54–7.54 3.00–8.07 | 10.55 6.34–14.76 5.23–15.87 | 38% 50% |
| Possession % | 46.71 39.92–53.50 38.25–55.17 | 53.94 47.16–60.73 45.48–62.40 | — | 31% 64% |
| Passes | 374 306–441 288–459 | 422 355–488 338–506 | 796 662–929 626–965 | 34% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.88 59.85–67.91 58.56–69.20 | 72.49 68.17–76.82 66.86–78.13 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.74 8.90–14.58 8.15–15.33 | 12.58 9.64–15.53 8.89–16.28 | 24.32 18.54–30.10 17.03–31.61 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.59 0.50–2.68 0.21–2.97 | 3.33 1.08–5.58 0.49–6.17 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.56 1.39–5.74 0.83–6.30 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.70 2.26–5.14 1.88–5.52 | 3.02 1.47–4.58 1.04–5.00 | 6.72 3.73–9.71 2.92–10.53 | 53% 15% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+