Liga I·Regular Season - 24·
Liga I·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
24%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.072.74safe0.71–2.650.21–1.920.92–4.57safer0.46–2.900.00–2.150.44–5.05
Shots on target
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.873.738.60safe3.01–6.731.99–5.475.00–12.21safer2.52–7.221.52–5.944.04–13.16
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2711.6825.95safe10.34–18.198.12–15.2518.47–33.44safer9.25–19.287.16–16.2116.41–35.49
Shots in box
67%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction9.186.9016.08safe6.23–12.124.22–9.5810.45–21.70safer5.40–12.953.48–10.328.89–23.27
Blocked shots
50%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.633.146.77safe1.75–5.511.49–4.793.24–10.31safer1.20–6.061.00–5.292.20–11.34
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.433.969.39safe3.21–7.641.96–5.965.17–13.60safer2.64–8.211.43–6.494.07–14.71
Possession %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction46.9853.31safe40.19–53.7746.53–60.09safer38.52–55.4444.85–61.77
Passes
34%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction413461873safe345–480394–527739–1007safer327–498377–545704–1043
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction67.1372.92safe63.10–71.1668.59–77.24safer61.81–72.4567.28–78.55
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3511.9725.31safe10.51–16.189.02–14.9119.53–31.09safer9.75–16.948.27–15.6618.03–32.60
Offsides
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.462.90safe0.27–2.590.37–2.550.64–5.15safer0.00–2.900.08–2.840.05–5.74
Yellow cards
36%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.932.124.05safe0.88–2.980.99–3.251.87–6.23safer0.61–3.250.70–3.541.31–6.78
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
32%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.693.285.97safe1.25–4.121.73–4.842.98–8.96safer0.86–4.511.30–5.262.17–9.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.68 0.71–2.65 0.46–2.90 | 1.07 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.15 | 2.74 0.92–4.57 0.44–5.05 | 52% 24% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.87 3.01–6.73 2.52–7.22 | 3.73 1.99–5.47 1.52–5.94 | 8.60 5.00–12.21 4.04–13.16 | 59% 29% |
| Total shots | 14.27 10.34–18.19 9.25–19.28 | 11.68 8.12–15.25 7.16–16.21 | 25.95 18.47–33.44 16.41–35.49 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 9.18 6.23–12.12 5.40–12.95 | 6.90 4.22–9.58 3.48–10.32 | 16.08 10.45–21.70 8.89–23.27 | 67% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 3.63 1.75–5.51 1.20–6.06 | 3.14 1.49–4.79 1.00–5.29 | 6.77 3.24–10.31 2.20–11.34 | 50% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 5.43 3.21–7.64 2.64–8.21 | 3.96 1.96–5.96 1.43–6.49 | 9.39 5.17–13.60 4.07–14.71 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 46.98 40.19–53.77 38.52–55.44 | 53.31 46.53–60.09 44.85–61.77 | — | 33% 62% |
| Passes | 413 345–480 327–498 | 461 394–527 377–545 | 873 739–1007 704–1043 | 34% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.13 63.10–71.16 61.81–72.45 | 72.92 68.59–77.24 67.28–78.55 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 13.35 10.51–16.18 9.75–16.94 | 11.97 9.02–14.91 8.27–15.66 | 25.31 19.53–31.09 18.03–32.60 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.43 0.27–2.59 0.00–2.90 | 1.46 0.37–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 2.90 0.64–5.15 0.05–5.74 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.98 0.61–3.25 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 4.05 1.87–6.23 1.31–6.78 | 36% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.69 1.25–4.12 0.86–4.51 | 3.28 1.73–4.84 1.30–5.26 | 5.97 2.98–8.96 2.17–9.78 | 32% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+