Liga I·Regular Season - 24·
Liga I·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.400.883.28safe1.44–3.370.02–1.731.46–5.11safer1.18–3.620.00–1.960.98–5.59
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.803.2510.05safe4.94–8.661.51–5.006.45–13.66safer4.45–9.151.05–5.465.49–14.61
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.989.5828.56safe15.05–22.906.01–13.1421.07–36.04safer13.96–24.005.05–14.1019.02–38.09
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction12.045.9918.04safe9.10–14.993.31–8.6712.41–23.66safer8.27–15.822.57–9.4110.85–25.23
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.632.196.82safe2.75–6.520.54–3.843.29–10.36safer2.21–7.060.04–4.342.25–11.39
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.103.1710.28safe4.89–9.321.17–5.176.06–14.49safer4.31–9.890.64–5.714.96–15.60
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.0835.72safe57.29–70.8728.94–42.51safer55.62–72.5427.27–44.18
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction576308884safe508–643242–375750–1018safer490–661224–392714–1053
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction78.3267.25safe74.29–82.3562.92–71.57safer73.00–83.6561.62–72.88
Fouls
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0514.0125.06safe8.21–13.8911.07–16.9519.28–30.84safer7.45–14.6410.32–17.7017.77–32.35
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.733.42safe0.53–2.860.64–2.821.17–5.68safer0.23–3.160.35–3.110.58–6.27
Yellow cards
22%
19%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.362.323.68safe0.31–2.411.19–3.451.50–5.86safer0.04–2.680.90–3.740.94–6.42
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.150.22safe0.00–0.230.00–0.330.00–0.56safer0.00–0.380.00–0.470.00–0.85
GK saves
14%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.224.396.62safe0.79–3.662.84–5.953.63–9.61safer0.40–4.052.41–6.372.81–10.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.40 1.44–3.37 1.18–3.62 | 0.88 0.02–1.73 0.00–1.96 | 3.28 1.46–5.11 0.98–5.59 | 71% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.80 4.94–8.66 4.45–9.15 | 3.25 1.51–5.00 1.05–5.46 | 10.05 6.45–13.66 5.49–14.61 | 83% |
| Total shots | 18.98 15.05–22.90 13.96–24.00 | 9.58 6.01–13.14 5.05–14.10 | 28.56 21.07–36.04 19.02–38.09 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.04 9.10–14.99 8.27–15.82 | 5.99 3.31–8.67 2.57–9.41 | 18.04 12.41–23.66 10.85–25.23 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.63 2.75–6.52 2.21–7.06 | 2.19 0.54–3.84 0.04–4.34 | 6.82 3.29–10.36 2.25–11.39 | 77% |
| Corners | 7.10 4.89–9.32 4.31–9.89 | 3.17 1.17–5.17 0.64–5.71 | 10.28 6.06–14.49 4.96–15.60 | 86% |
| Possession % | 64.08 57.29–70.87 55.62–72.54 | 35.72 28.94–42.51 27.27–44.18 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 576 508–643 490–661 | 308 242–375 224–392 | 884 750–1018 714–1053 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.32 74.29–82.35 73.00–83.65 | 67.25 62.92–71.57 61.62–72.88 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 11.05 8.21–13.89 7.45–14.64 | 14.01 11.07–16.95 10.32–17.70 | 25.06 19.28–30.84 17.77–32.35 | 24% 69% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.53–2.86 0.23–3.16 | 1.73 0.64–2.82 0.35–3.11 | 3.42 1.17–5.68 0.58–6.27 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.31–2.41 0.04–2.68 | 2.32 1.19–3.45 0.90–3.74 | 3.68 1.50–5.86 0.94–6.42 | 22% 19% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.22 0.79–3.66 0.40–4.05 | 4.39 2.84–5.95 2.41–6.37 | 6.62 3.63–9.61 2.81–10.42 | 14% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.