Liga I·Regular Season - 24·
Liga I·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
24%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.660.802.45safe0.69–2.620.00–1.650.63–4.28safer0.44–2.880.00–1.880.15–4.76
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.993.348.33safe3.13–6.851.59–5.084.72–11.93safer2.64–7.341.13–5.543.76–12.89
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8610.4925.34safe10.93–18.786.93–14.0517.86–32.83safer9.84–19.875.97–15.0115.81–34.88
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction9.796.1715.96safe6.85–12.733.49–8.8510.34–21.59safer6.02–13.562.76–9.598.77–23.15
Blocked shots
63%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.922.566.47safe2.03–5.800.90–4.212.94–10.01safer1.49–6.340.41–4.701.90–11.04
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.783.629.40safe3.57–8.001.62–5.625.19–13.62safer3.00–8.571.09–6.154.08–14.73
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.5035.95safe56.71–70.2929.17–42.74safer55.04–71.9627.50–44.41
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction576291867safe509–644224–357733–1001safer491–662207–375698–1036
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction76.4366.15safe72.40–80.4661.83–70.48safer71.11–81.7560.52–71.79
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7813.5424.33safe7.95–13.6210.60–16.4918.55–30.11safer7.19–14.389.85–17.2417.04–31.61
Offsides
38%
25%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.412.85safe0.29–2.610.32–2.500.60–5.11safer0.00–2.910.03–2.790.01–5.70
Yellow cards
21%
18%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.592.704.29safe0.54–2.641.57–3.832.11–6.47safer0.27–2.901.28–4.121.55–7.02
Red cards
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.180.24safe0.00–0.220.00–0.360.00–0.59safer0.00–0.370.00–0.500.00–0.87
GK saves
26%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.353.345.69safe0.91–3.791.78–4.902.70–8.68safer0.53–4.171.36–5.321.88–9.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.66 0.69–2.62 0.44–2.88 | 0.80 0.00–1.65 0.00–1.88 | 2.45 0.63–4.28 0.15–4.76 | 58% 24% 18% |
| Shots on target | 4.99 3.13–6.85 2.64–7.34 | 3.34 1.59–5.08 1.13–5.54 | 8.33 4.72–11.93 3.76–12.89 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 14.86 10.93–18.78 9.84–19.87 | 10.49 6.93–14.05 5.97–15.01 | 25.34 17.86–32.83 15.81–34.88 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.79 6.85–12.73 6.02–13.56 | 6.17 3.49–8.85 2.76–9.59 | 15.96 10.34–21.59 8.77–23.15 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 3.92 2.03–5.80 1.49–6.34 | 2.56 0.90–4.21 0.41–4.70 | 6.47 2.94–10.01 1.90–11.04 | 63% 14% 23% |
| Corners | 5.78 3.57–8.00 3.00–8.57 | 3.62 1.62–5.62 1.09–6.15 | 9.40 5.19–13.62 4.08–14.73 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 63.50 56.71–70.29 55.04–71.96 | 35.95 29.17–42.74 27.50–44.41 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 576 509–644 491–662 | 291 224–357 207–375 | 867 733–1001 698–1036 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.43 72.40–80.46 71.11–81.75 | 66.15 61.83–70.48 60.52–71.79 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 10.78 7.95–13.62 7.19–14.38 | 13.54 10.60–16.49 9.85–17.24 | 24.33 18.55–30.11 17.04–31.61 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 1.41 0.32–2.50 0.03–2.79 | 2.85 0.60–5.11 0.01–5.70 | 38% 25% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.27–2.90 | 2.70 1.57–3.83 1.28–4.12 | 4.29 2.11–6.47 1.55–7.02 | 21% 18% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.18 0.00–0.36 0.00–0.50 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% 15% |
| GK saves | 2.35 0.91–3.79 0.53–4.17 | 3.34 1.78–4.90 1.36–5.32 | 5.69 2.70–8.68 1.88–9.49 | 26% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.