Liga I·Regular Season - 24·
Liga I·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
23%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.803.11safe0.34–2.280.95–2.661.29–4.93safer0.09–2.530.72–2.890.81–5.41
Shots on target
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.315.169.48safe2.45–6.183.42–6.915.87–13.08safer1.96–6.672.96–7.374.92–14.04
Total shots
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3016.0529.35safe9.37–17.2212.49–19.6121.86–36.83safer8.28–18.3111.53–20.5719.81–38.88
Shots in box
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction8.259.9118.16safe5.31–11.207.23–12.5912.54–23.79safer4.48–12.036.49–13.3310.97–25.35
Blocked shots
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction3.644.938.57safe1.75–5.523.28–6.585.03–12.10safer1.21–6.062.79–7.084.00–13.14
Corners
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.715.7510.46safe2.50–6.933.75–7.756.25–14.67safer1.93–7.503.21–8.285.14–15.78
Possession %
15%
83%
homeawayprediction41.5158.38safe34.72–48.3051.59–65.16safer33.05–49.9749.92–66.84
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction379514893safe312–446448–581760–1027safer294–465430–598724–1063
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction63.3774.71safe59.34–67.4070.39–79.03safer58.05–68.6969.08–80.34
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2811.5121.80safe7.45–13.128.57–14.4616.02–27.58safer6.69–13.887.82–15.2114.51–29.08
Offsides
38%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.452.89safe0.29–2.610.35–2.540.64–5.15safer0.00–2.910.07–2.830.05–5.74
Yellow cards
43%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.613.44safe0.78–2.870.48–2.741.26–5.61safer0.51–3.140.19–3.030.70–6.17
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.502.936.43safe2.06–4.931.37–4.483.43–9.42safer1.67–5.320.95–4.912.62–10.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 1.80 0.95–2.66 0.72–2.89 | 3.11 1.29–4.93 0.81–5.41 | 28% 23% 49% |
| Shots on target | 4.31 2.45–6.18 1.96–6.67 | 5.16 3.42–6.91 2.96–7.37 | 9.48 5.87–13.08 4.92–14.04 | 33% 54% |
| Total shots | 13.30 9.37–17.22 8.28–18.31 | 16.05 12.49–19.61 11.53–20.57 | 29.35 21.86–36.83 19.81–38.88 | 27% 66% |
| Shots in box | 8.25 5.31–11.20 4.48–12.03 | 9.91 7.23–12.59 6.49–13.33 | 18.16 12.54–23.79 10.97–25.35 | 31% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 3.64 1.75–5.52 1.21–6.06 | 4.93 3.28–6.58 2.79–7.08 | 8.57 5.03–12.10 4.00–13.14 | 27% 61% |
| Corners | 4.71 2.50–6.93 1.93–7.50 | 5.75 3.75–7.75 3.21–8.28 | 10.46 6.25–14.67 5.14–15.78 | 32% 56% |
| Possession % | 41.51 34.72–48.30 33.05–49.97 | 58.38 51.59–65.16 49.92–66.84 | — | 15% 83% |
| Passes | 379 312–446 294–465 | 514 448–581 430–598 | 893 760–1027 724–1063 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.37 59.34–67.40 58.05–68.69 | 74.71 70.39–79.03 69.08–80.34 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 10.28 7.45–13.12 6.69–13.88 | 11.51 8.57–14.46 7.82–15.21 | 21.80 16.02–27.58 14.51–29.08 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 1.45 0.35–2.54 0.07–2.83 | 2.89 0.64–5.15 0.05–5.74 | 38% 25% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.87 0.51–3.14 | 1.61 0.48–2.74 0.19–3.03 | 3.44 1.26–5.61 0.70–6.17 | 43% 22% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.50 2.06–4.93 1.67–5.32 | 2.93 1.37–4.48 0.95–4.91 | 6.43 3.43–9.42 2.62–10.23 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+