Liga I·Regular Season - 24·
Liga I·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
23%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.121.812.93safe0.15–2.090.96–2.671.11–4.75safer0.00–2.340.73–2.900.63–5.23
Shots on target
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.215.349.55safe2.35–6.073.60–7.085.94–13.15safer1.86–6.563.13–7.554.99–14.11
Total shots
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2615.2228.48safe9.34–17.1911.65–18.7820.99–35.97safer8.25–18.2810.70–19.7418.94–38.02
Shots in box
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction7.989.9617.94safe5.04–10.927.28–12.6412.32–23.56safer4.21–11.756.54–13.3810.75–25.13
Blocked shots
34%
14%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.494.157.64safe1.61–5.372.50–5.804.10–11.17safer1.06–5.912.00–6.303.07–12.21
Corners
39%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.885.2810.16safe2.67–7.103.28–7.285.95–14.37safer2.10–7.672.74–7.814.84–15.48
Possession %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction48.3152.75safe41.52–55.1045.97–59.54safer39.85–56.7744.30–61.21
Passes
34%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction407455862safe340–474389–522729–996safer322–492371–539693–1032
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction69.8375.03safe65.80–73.8570.71–79.35safer64.50–75.1569.40–80.66
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8112.6624.48safe8.98–14.659.72–15.6118.69–30.26safer8.22–15.418.97–16.3517.19–31.76
Offsides
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.453.09safe0.48–2.800.36–2.540.84–5.35safer0.18–3.100.07–2.830.25–5.94
Yellow cards
43%
20%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.262.134.39safe1.21–3.311.00–3.262.21–6.57safer0.94–3.580.71–3.551.66–7.13
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.110.25safe0.00–0.300.00–0.300.00–0.59safer0.00–0.450.00–0.430.00–0.88
GK saves
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.472.966.42safe2.03–4.901.40–4.513.43–9.42safer1.64–5.290.97–4.942.62–10.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.12 0.15–2.09 0.00–2.34 | 1.81 0.96–2.67 0.73–2.90 | 2.93 1.11–4.75 0.63–5.23 | 23% 23% 54% |
| Shots on target | 4.21 2.35–6.07 1.86–6.56 | 5.34 3.60–7.08 3.13–7.55 | 9.55 5.94–13.15 4.99–14.11 | 30% 58% |
| Total shots | 13.26 9.34–17.19 8.25–18.28 | 15.22 11.65–18.78 10.70–19.74 | 28.48 20.99–35.97 18.94–38.02 | 32% 61% |
| Shots in box | 7.98 5.04–10.92 4.21–11.75 | 9.96 7.28–12.64 6.54–13.38 | 17.94 12.32–23.56 10.75–25.13 | 28% 64% |
| Blocked shots | 3.49 1.61–5.37 1.06–5.91 | 4.15 2.50–5.80 2.00–6.30 | 7.64 4.10–11.17 3.07–12.21 | 34% 14% 52% |
| Corners | 4.88 2.67–7.10 2.10–7.67 | 5.28 3.28–7.28 2.74–7.81 | 10.16 5.95–14.37 4.84–15.48 | 39% 49% |
| Possession % | 48.31 41.52–55.10 39.85–56.77 | 52.75 45.97–59.54 44.30–61.21 | — | 37% 58% |
| Passes | 407 340–474 322–492 | 455 389–522 371–539 | 862 729–996 693–1032 | 34% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.83 65.80–73.85 64.50–75.15 | 75.03 70.71–79.35 69.40–80.66 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 11.81 8.98–14.65 8.22–15.41 | 12.66 9.72–15.61 8.97–16.35 | 24.48 18.69–30.26 17.19–31.76 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.45 0.36–2.54 0.07–2.83 | 3.09 0.84–5.35 0.25–5.94 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 2.26 1.21–3.31 0.94–3.58 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 4.39 2.21–6.57 1.66–7.13 | 43% 20% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.25 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.47 2.03–4.90 1.64–5.29 | 2.96 1.40–4.51 0.97–4.94 | 6.42 3.43–9.42 2.62–10.23 | 50% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.