Liga I·Regular Season - 24·
Liga I·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
25%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.522.89safe0.41–2.350.66–2.371.07–4.72safer0.16–2.600.43–2.600.59–5.20
Shots on target
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.655.3610.02safe2.79–6.523.62–7.106.41–13.62safer2.30–7.013.15–7.575.45–14.58
Total shots
40%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9814.8728.85safe10.06–17.9111.31–18.4321.36–36.34safer8.97–19.0010.35–19.3919.31–38.39
Shots in box
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction8.699.2017.89safe5.75–11.636.52–11.8812.27–23.51safer4.92–12.465.78–12.6210.70–25.08
Blocked shots
36%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.503.937.43safe1.61–5.382.28–5.583.89–10.96safer1.07–5.921.78–6.072.86–12.00
Corners
48%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.485.1210.60safe3.26–7.693.12–7.126.39–14.81safer2.69–8.262.59–7.665.28–15.92
Possession %
37%
59%
homeawayprediction47.6152.40safe40.82–54.4045.62–59.19safer39.15–56.0743.95–60.86
Passes
41%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction398426824safe331–465360–493691–958safer313–483342–510655–994
Pass accuracy %
20%
77%
homeawayprediction66.2672.40safe62.24–70.2968.08–76.73safer60.94–71.5966.77–78.04
Fouls
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4812.8024.28safe8.64–14.319.85–15.7418.49–30.06safer7.88–15.079.11–16.4916.99–31.56
Offsides
43%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.493.22safe0.57–2.890.40–2.590.96–5.47safer0.26–3.190.11–2.870.37–6.06
Yellow cards
30%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.572.023.59safe0.52–2.620.89–3.151.41–5.76safer0.25–2.890.60–3.440.85–6.32
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.703.377.07safe2.26–5.131.81–4.934.08–10.06safer1.87–5.521.39–5.353.26–10.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.52 0.66–2.37 0.43–2.60 | 2.89 1.07–4.72 0.59–5.20 | 35% 25% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.65 2.79–6.52 2.30–7.01 | 5.36 3.62–7.10 3.15–7.57 | 10.02 6.41–13.62 5.45–14.58 | 35% 53% |
| Total shots | 13.98 10.06–17.91 8.97–19.00 | 14.87 11.31–18.43 10.35–19.39 | 28.85 21.36–36.34 19.31–38.39 | 40% 53% |
| Shots in box | 8.69 5.75–11.63 4.92–12.46 | 9.20 6.52–11.88 5.78–12.62 | 17.89 12.27–23.51 10.70–25.08 | 41% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.50 1.61–5.38 1.07–5.92 | 3.93 2.28–5.58 1.78–6.07 | 7.43 3.89–10.96 2.86–12.00 | 36% 15% 49% |
| Corners | 5.48 3.26–7.69 2.69–8.26 | 5.12 3.12–7.12 2.59–7.66 | 10.60 6.39–14.81 5.28–15.92 | 48% 40% |
| Possession % | 47.61 40.82–54.40 39.15–56.07 | 52.40 45.62–59.19 43.95–60.86 | — | 37% 59% |
| Passes | 398 331–465 313–483 | 426 360–493 342–510 | 824 691–958 655–994 | 41% 59% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.26 62.24–70.29 60.94–71.59 | 72.40 68.08–76.73 66.77–78.04 | — | 20% 77% |
| Fouls | 11.48 8.64–14.31 7.88–15.07 | 12.80 9.85–15.74 9.11–16.49 | 24.28 18.49–30.06 16.99–31.56 | 36% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.26–3.19 | 1.49 0.40–2.59 0.11–2.87 | 3.22 0.96–5.47 0.37–6.06 | 43% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.25–2.89 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 3.59 1.41–5.76 0.85–6.32 | 30% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.70 2.26–5.13 1.87–5.52 | 3.37 1.81–4.93 1.39–5.35 | 7.07 4.08–10.06 3.26–10.87 | 47% 15% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.