Liga I·Regular Season - 24·
Liga I·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.830.703.53safe1.86–3.800.00–1.561.71–5.35safer1.61–4.050.00–1.791.23–5.83
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.362.8110.17safe5.50–9.221.07–4.566.57–13.78safer5.01–9.710.61–5.025.61–14.73
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.438.8829.31safe16.50–24.355.32–12.4521.83–36.80safer15.41–25.454.36–13.4119.77–38.85
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction14.424.5318.95safe11.47–17.361.85–7.2113.33–24.57safer10.65–18.191.11–7.9511.76–26.14
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.012.257.26safe3.13–6.890.60–3.913.73–10.80safer2.58–7.440.11–4.402.69–11.83
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.223.0110.23safe5.01–9.431.01–5.016.02–14.44safer4.43–10.010.48–5.544.91–15.55
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction59.7439.16safe52.95–66.5332.38–45.95safer51.28–68.2030.70–47.62
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction540352892safe473–607286–418758–1026safer455–625268–436723–1061
Pass accuracy %
79%
17%
homeawayprediction74.1367.32safe70.10–78.1662.99–71.64safer68.81–79.4561.68–72.95
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7211.5022.22safe7.89–13.568.55–14.4416.44–28.00safer7.13–14.327.80–15.1914.93–29.51
Offsides
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.893.96safe0.91–3.230.79–2.981.70–6.21safer0.61–3.530.50–3.271.11–6.80
Yellow cards
20%
20%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.282.283.56safe0.23–2.331.15–3.411.38–5.74safer0.00–2.590.86–3.700.82–6.30
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.024.396.41safe0.59–3.462.83–5.943.42–9.40safer0.20–3.842.41–6.372.60–10.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.83 1.86–3.80 1.61–4.05 | 0.70 0.00–1.56 0.00–1.79 | 3.53 1.71–5.35 1.23–5.83 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 7.36 5.50–9.22 5.01–9.71 | 2.81 1.07–4.56 0.61–5.02 | 10.17 6.57–13.78 5.61–14.73 | 90% |
| Total shots | 20.43 16.50–24.35 15.41–25.45 | 8.88 5.32–12.45 4.36–13.41 | 29.31 21.83–36.80 19.77–38.85 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 14.42 11.47–17.36 10.65–18.19 | 4.53 1.85–7.21 1.11–7.95 | 18.95 13.33–24.57 11.76–26.14 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.01 3.13–6.89 2.58–7.44 | 2.25 0.60–3.91 0.11–4.40 | 7.26 3.73–10.80 2.69–11.83 | 80% |
| Corners | 7.22 5.01–9.43 4.43–10.01 | 3.01 1.01–5.01 0.48–5.54 | 10.23 6.02–14.44 4.91–15.55 | 88% |
| Possession % | 59.74 52.95–66.53 51.28–68.20 | 39.16 32.38–45.95 30.70–47.62 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 540 473–607 455–625 | 352 286–418 268–436 | 892 758–1026 723–1061 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.13 70.10–78.16 68.81–79.45 | 67.32 62.99–71.64 61.68–72.95 | — | 79% 17% |
| Fouls | 10.72 7.89–13.56 7.13–14.32 | 11.50 8.55–14.44 7.80–15.19 | 22.22 16.44–28.00 14.93–29.51 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.91–3.23 0.61–3.53 | 1.89 0.79–2.98 0.50–3.27 | 3.96 1.70–6.21 1.11–6.80 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.28 0.23–2.33 0.00–2.59 | 2.28 1.15–3.41 0.86–3.70 | 3.56 1.38–5.74 0.82–6.30 | 20% 20% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.02 0.59–3.46 0.20–3.84 | 4.39 2.83–5.94 2.41–6.37 | 6.41 3.42–9.40 2.60–10.21 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.