Liga I·Regular Season - 24·
Liga I·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.262.83safe0.61–2.540.40–2.111.01–4.66safer0.36–2.800.17–2.340.53–5.14
Shots on target
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.533.859.38safe3.67–7.392.11–5.595.77–12.98safer3.18–7.881.64–6.064.82–13.94
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0310.9126.94safe12.11–19.967.35–14.4719.46–34.43safer11.02–21.056.39–15.4317.41–36.48
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.517.1417.64safe7.56–13.454.46–9.8212.02–23.27safer6.73–14.283.72–10.5610.45–24.83
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.442.847.28safe2.56–6.321.19–4.503.75–10.82safer2.02–6.870.70–4.992.71–11.86
Corners
68%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.064.1010.16safe3.84–8.272.10–6.105.94–14.37safer3.27–8.841.57–6.634.84–15.48
Possession %
52%
44%
homeawayprediction51.0449.34safe44.25–57.8342.56–56.13safer42.58–59.5040.89–57.80
Passes
52%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction427419846safe359–494353–486712–980safer341–512335–503677–1015
Pass accuracy %
44%
50%
homeawayprediction69.3469.91safe65.31–73.3765.59–74.24safer64.02–74.6664.28–75.54
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4012.7825.17safe9.56–15.239.83–15.7219.39–30.95safer8.80–15.999.08–16.4717.88–32.46
Offsides
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.733.30safe0.41–2.730.64–2.821.04–5.55safer0.11–3.030.35–3.110.45–6.14
Yellow cards
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.702.083.78safe0.65–2.750.95–3.211.60–5.96safer0.38–3.010.66–3.501.04–6.51
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.130.19safe0.00–0.220.00–0.320.00–0.54safer0.00–0.370.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.626.18safe1.12–3.992.07–5.183.18–9.17safer0.73–4.381.64–5.602.37–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.58 0.61–2.54 0.36–2.80 | 1.26 0.40–2.11 0.17–2.34 | 2.83 1.01–4.66 0.53–5.14 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Shots on target | 5.53 3.67–7.39 3.18–7.88 | 3.85 2.11–5.59 1.64–6.06 | 9.38 5.77–12.98 4.82–13.94 | 65% 24% |
| Total shots | 16.03 12.11–19.96 11.02–21.05 | 10.91 7.35–14.47 6.39–15.43 | 26.94 19.46–34.43 17.41–36.48 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 10.51 7.56–13.45 6.73–14.28 | 7.14 4.46–9.82 3.72–10.56 | 17.64 12.02–23.27 10.45–24.83 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.44 2.56–6.32 2.02–6.87 | 2.84 1.19–4.50 0.70–4.99 | 7.28 3.75–10.82 2.71–11.86 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 6.06 3.84–8.27 3.27–8.84 | 4.10 2.10–6.10 1.57–6.63 | 10.16 5.94–14.37 4.84–15.48 | 68% 22% |
| Possession % | 51.04 44.25–57.83 42.58–59.50 | 49.34 42.56–56.13 40.89–57.80 | — | 52% 44% |
| Passes | 427 359–494 341–512 | 419 353–486 335–503 | 846 712–980 677–1015 | 52% 47% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.34 65.31–73.37 64.02–74.66 | 69.91 65.59–74.24 64.28–75.54 | — | 44% 50% |
| Fouls | 12.40 9.56–15.23 8.80–15.99 | 12.78 9.83–15.72 9.08–16.47 | 25.17 19.39–30.95 17.88–32.46 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.03 | 1.73 0.64–2.82 0.35–3.11 | 3.30 1.04–5.55 0.45–6.14 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.38–3.01 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 3.78 1.60–5.96 1.04–6.51 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.12–3.99 0.73–4.38 | 3.62 2.07–5.18 1.64–5.60 | 6.18 3.18–9.17 2.37–9.98 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.