Liga I·Regular Season - 25·
Liga I·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.322.76safe0.47–2.410.47–2.170.94–4.58safer0.22–2.660.24–2.400.46–5.06
Shots on target
49%
13%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.944.529.45safe3.07–6.802.77–6.265.85–13.06safer2.58–7.292.31–6.724.89–14.01
Total shots
64%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6113.2328.84safe11.69–19.549.67–16.7921.36–36.33safer10.60–20.638.71–17.7519.31–38.38
Shots in box
58%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction9.578.2317.80safe6.63–12.515.55–10.9112.18–23.42safer5.80–13.344.81–11.6510.61–24.99
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.983.537.51safe2.10–5.861.88–5.193.98–11.05safer1.56–6.411.39–5.682.94–12.09
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.564.5510.10safe3.34–7.772.55–6.555.89–14.32safer2.77–8.342.01–7.084.78–15.43
Possession %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction48.3352.78safe41.54–55.1246.00–59.57safer39.87–56.7944.33–61.24
Passes
39%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction393427820safe325–460361–494686–953safer307–478343–511650–989
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction65.5171.60safe61.48–69.5467.28–75.92safer60.19–70.8365.97–77.23
Fouls
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0611.5725.63safe11.22–16.908.62–14.5119.85–31.41safer10.47–17.657.87–15.2618.34–32.92
Offsides
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.793.26safe0.31–2.630.70–2.891.01–5.52safer0.01–2.930.41–3.170.42–6.11
Yellow cards
41%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.242.214.45safe1.19–3.291.08–3.342.27–6.63safer0.92–3.550.79–3.631.71–7.18
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.130.26safe0.00–0.280.00–0.320.00–0.60safer0.00–0.430.00–0.450.00–0.89
GK saves
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.223.116.33safe1.78–4.661.55–4.663.34–9.32safer1.40–5.041.13–5.092.52–10.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 1.32 0.47–2.17 0.24–2.40 | 2.76 0.94–4.58 0.46–5.06 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.94 3.07–6.80 2.58–7.29 | 4.52 2.77–6.26 2.31–6.72 | 9.45 5.85–13.06 4.89–14.01 | 49% 13% 38% |
| Total shots | 15.61 11.69–19.54 10.60–20.63 | 13.23 9.67–16.79 8.71–17.75 | 28.84 21.36–36.33 19.31–38.38 | 64% 30% |
| Shots in box | 9.57 6.63–12.51 5.80–13.34 | 8.23 5.55–10.91 4.81–11.65 | 17.80 12.18–23.42 10.61–24.99 | 58% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 3.98 2.10–5.86 1.56–6.41 | 3.53 1.88–5.19 1.39–5.68 | 7.51 3.98–11.05 2.94–12.09 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.56 3.34–7.77 2.77–8.34 | 4.55 2.55–6.55 2.01–7.08 | 10.10 5.89–14.32 4.78–15.43 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 48.33 41.54–55.12 39.87–56.79 | 52.78 46.00–59.57 44.33–61.24 | — | 37% 58% |
| Passes | 393 325–460 307–478 | 427 361–494 343–511 | 820 686–953 650–989 | 39% 61% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.51 61.48–69.54 60.19–70.83 | 71.60 67.28–75.92 65.97–77.23 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 14.06 11.22–16.90 10.47–17.65 | 11.57 8.62–14.51 7.87–15.26 | 25.63 19.85–31.41 18.34–32.92 | 65% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.01–2.93 | 1.79 0.70–2.89 0.41–3.17 | 3.26 1.01–5.52 0.42–6.11 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 2.24 1.19–3.29 0.92–3.55 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 4.45 2.27–6.63 1.71–7.18 | 41% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.26 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.89 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.22 1.78–4.66 1.40–5.04 | 3.11 1.55–4.66 1.13–5.09 | 6.33 3.34–9.32 2.52–10.13 | 44% 16% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.