Liga I·Regular Season - 25·
Liga I·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
27%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.192.43safe0.27–2.210.33–2.040.61–4.25safer0.02–2.460.10–2.270.13–4.73
Shots on target
41%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.234.408.63safe2.37–6.092.66–6.145.02–12.23safer1.88–6.582.19–6.614.07–13.19
Total shots
42%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9913.5726.56safe9.06–16.9110.01–17.1419.07–34.05safer7.97–18.009.05–18.1017.02–36.10
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction7.927.9215.84safe4.97–10.865.24–10.6010.21–21.46safer4.15–11.694.50–11.348.65–23.03
Blocked shots
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.573.467.02safe1.69–5.451.80–5.113.49–10.56safer1.14–5.991.31–5.602.45–11.59
Corners
43%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.704.769.46safe2.48–6.912.76–6.765.24–13.67safer1.91–7.482.23–7.294.13–14.78
Possession %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction48.0751.76safe41.28–54.8644.98–58.55safer39.61–56.5343.30–60.22
Passes
37%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction377415792safe310–444349–482658–926safer291–462331–499623–961
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction66.4172.00safe62.38–70.4467.67–76.32safer61.09–71.7366.36–77.63
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8513.4327.28safe11.01–16.6910.49–16.3821.50–33.06safer10.25–17.449.74–17.1319.99–34.57
Offsides
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.653.30safe0.50–2.820.55–2.741.05–5.56safer0.20–3.120.26–3.030.46–6.15
Yellow cards
43%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.763.74safe0.92–3.020.64–2.891.56–5.92safer0.66–3.290.34–3.181.00–6.47
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
42%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.083.086.15safe1.64–4.511.52–4.633.16–9.15safer1.25–4.901.10–5.062.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.21 0.02–2.46 | 1.19 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.27 | 2.43 0.61–4.25 0.13–4.73 | 38% 27% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.23 2.37–6.09 1.88–6.58 | 4.40 2.66–6.14 2.19–6.61 | 8.63 5.02–12.23 4.07–13.19 | 41% 14% 45% |
| Total shots | 12.99 9.06–16.91 7.97–18.00 | 13.57 10.01–17.14 9.05–18.10 | 26.56 19.07–34.05 17.02–36.10 | 42% 51% |
| Shots in box | 7.92 4.97–10.86 4.15–11.69 | 7.92 5.24–10.60 4.50–11.34 | 15.84 10.21–21.46 8.65–23.03 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.57 1.69–5.45 1.14–5.99 | 3.46 1.80–5.11 1.31–5.60 | 7.02 3.49–10.56 2.45–11.59 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 4.70 2.48–6.91 1.91–7.48 | 4.76 2.76–6.76 2.23–7.29 | 9.46 5.24–13.67 4.13–14.78 | 43% 13% 44% |
| Possession % | 48.07 41.28–54.86 39.61–56.53 | 51.76 44.98–58.55 43.30–60.22 | — | 39% 56% |
| Passes | 377 310–444 291–462 | 415 349–482 331–499 | 792 658–926 623–961 | 37% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.41 62.38–70.44 61.09–71.73 | 72.00 67.67–76.32 66.36–77.63 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 13.85 11.01–16.69 10.25–17.44 | 13.43 10.49–16.38 9.74–17.13 | 27.28 21.50–33.06 19.99–34.57 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.65 0.55–2.74 0.26–3.03 | 3.30 1.05–5.56 0.46–6.15 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.66–3.29 | 1.76 0.64–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.00–6.47 | 43% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.08 1.64–4.51 1.25–4.90 | 3.08 1.52–4.63 1.10–5.06 | 6.15 3.16–9.15 2.35–9.96 | 42% 16% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.