Liga I·Regular Season - 25·
Liga I·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.693.04safe0.38–2.320.84–2.551.22–4.86safer0.13–2.570.61–2.780.74–5.34
Shots on target
28%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction4.225.559.77safe2.35–6.083.81–7.306.16–13.37safer1.86–6.573.34–7.765.21–14.33
Total shots
24%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4315.6428.08safe8.51–16.3612.08–19.2120.59–35.56safer7.42–17.4511.12–20.1718.54–37.62
Shots in box
29%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction7.889.6817.56safe4.93–10.827.00–12.3611.93–23.18safer4.10–11.656.26–13.1010.37–24.75
Blocked shots
31%
14%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.274.137.40safe1.39–5.162.47–5.783.87–10.94safer0.85–5.701.98–6.272.83–11.97
Corners
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.964.989.94safe2.74–7.172.98–6.985.73–14.15safer2.17–7.752.45–7.514.62–15.26
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction45.3054.33safe38.51–52.0947.55–61.12safer36.84–53.7645.88–62.79
Passes
31%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction433492926safe366–501426–559792–1059safer348–519408–576756–1095
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction70.1577.46safe66.13–74.1873.14–81.79safer64.83–75.4871.83–83.10
Fouls
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8811.2023.08safe9.04–14.728.25–14.1417.30–28.86safer8.29–15.477.50–14.8915.79–30.37
Offsides
52%
21%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.393.43safe0.88–3.200.30–2.491.18–5.68safer0.58–3.500.01–2.780.59–6.27
Yellow cards
40%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.032.034.06safe0.98–3.080.90–3.161.88–6.24safer0.71–3.340.61–3.451.32–6.79
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.140.27safe0.00–0.290.00–0.330.00–0.61safer0.00–0.440.00–0.460.00–0.90
GK saves
52%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.612.946.56safe2.18–5.051.39–4.503.56–9.55safer1.79–5.440.96–4.922.75–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.69 0.84–2.55 0.61–2.78 | 3.04 1.22–4.86 0.74–5.34 | 31% 24% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.22 2.35–6.08 1.86–6.57 | 5.55 3.81–7.30 3.34–7.76 | 9.77 6.16–13.37 5.21–14.33 | 28% 60% |
| Total shots | 12.43 8.51–16.36 7.42–17.45 | 15.64 12.08–19.21 11.12–20.17 | 28.08 20.59–35.56 18.54–37.62 | 24% 70% |
| Shots in box | 7.88 4.93–10.82 4.10–11.65 | 9.68 7.00–12.36 6.26–13.10 | 17.56 11.93–23.18 10.37–24.75 | 29% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 3.27 1.39–5.16 0.85–5.70 | 4.13 2.47–5.78 1.98–6.27 | 7.40 3.87–10.94 2.83–11.97 | 31% 14% 55% |
| Corners | 4.96 2.74–7.17 2.17–7.75 | 4.98 2.98–6.98 2.45–7.51 | 9.94 5.73–14.15 4.62–15.26 | 43% 44% |
| Possession % | 45.30 38.51–52.09 36.84–53.76 | 54.33 47.55–61.12 45.88–62.79 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 433 366–501 348–519 | 492 426–559 408–576 | 926 792–1059 756–1095 | 31% 69% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.15 66.13–74.18 64.83–75.48 | 77.46 73.14–81.79 71.83–83.10 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 11.88 9.04–14.72 8.29–15.47 | 11.20 8.25–14.14 7.50–14.89 | 23.08 17.30–28.86 15.79–30.37 | 51% 40% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.50 | 1.39 0.30–2.49 0.01–2.78 | 3.43 1.18–5.68 0.59–6.27 | 52% 21% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 2.03 0.98–3.08 0.71–3.34 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 4.06 1.88–6.24 1.32–6.79 | 40% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.27 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.90 | 78% |
| GK saves | 3.61 2.18–5.05 1.79–5.44 | 2.94 1.39–4.50 0.96–4.92 | 6.56 3.56–9.55 2.75–10.36 | 52% 15% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+