Liga I·Regular Season - 25·
Liga I·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
26%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.402.62safe0.25–2.190.54–2.250.80–4.44safer0.00–2.440.32–2.480.32–4.92
Shots on target
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.144.498.63safe2.27–6.002.75–6.235.02–12.23safer1.79–6.492.28–6.704.06–13.19
Total shots
49%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7813.4527.23safe9.86–17.719.88–17.0119.74–34.72safer8.77–18.808.93–17.9717.69–36.77
Shots in box
50%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction8.507.9716.47safe5.55–11.445.29–10.6510.85–22.09safer4.72–12.274.55–11.399.28–23.66
Blocked shots
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.884.318.19safe2.00–5.772.66–5.964.66–11.73safer1.46–6.312.16–6.453.62–12.76
Corners
47%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.134.8710.00safe2.92–7.342.87–6.875.78–14.21safer2.34–7.922.33–7.404.68–15.32
Possession %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction44.3156.35safe37.52–51.1049.56–63.13safer35.85–52.7747.89–64.81
Passes
17%
83%
homeawaytotalprediction359472830safe291–426405–538697–964safer273–444388–556661–1000
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction61.6772.47safe57.64–65.7068.14–76.79safer56.35–67.0066.83–78.10
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5311.7923.32safe8.69–14.368.85–14.7317.53–29.10safer7.93–15.128.10–15.4816.03–30.60
Offsides
39%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.352.77safe0.26–2.580.26–2.450.52–5.03safer0.00–2.880.00–2.730.00–5.62
Yellow cards
47%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.733.86safe1.07–3.170.61–2.861.68–6.04safer0.81–3.440.31–3.151.12–6.59
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.110.24safe0.00–0.290.00–0.290.00–0.59safer0.00–0.440.00–0.430.00–0.87
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.912.885.80safe1.48–4.351.33–4.442.80–8.79safer1.09–4.740.90–4.861.99–9.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.40 0.54–2.25 0.32–2.48 | 2.62 0.80–4.44 0.32–4.92 | 33% 26% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.14 2.27–6.00 1.79–6.49 | 4.49 2.75–6.23 2.28–6.70 | 8.63 5.02–12.23 4.06–13.19 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Total shots | 13.78 9.86–17.71 8.77–18.80 | 13.45 9.88–17.01 8.93–17.97 | 27.23 19.74–34.72 17.69–36.77 | 49% 44% |
| Shots in box | 8.50 5.55–11.44 4.72–12.27 | 7.97 5.29–10.65 4.55–11.39 | 16.47 10.85–22.09 9.28–23.66 | 50% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 3.88 2.00–5.77 1.46–6.31 | 4.31 2.66–5.96 2.16–6.45 | 8.19 4.66–11.73 3.62–12.76 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Corners | 5.13 2.92–7.34 2.34–7.92 | 4.87 2.87–6.87 2.33–7.40 | 10.00 5.78–14.21 4.68–15.32 | 47% 40% |
| Possession % | 44.31 37.52–51.10 35.85–52.77 | 56.35 49.56–63.13 47.89–64.81 | — | 22% 74% |
| Passes | 359 291–426 273–444 | 472 405–538 388–556 | 830 697–964 661–1000 | 17% 83% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.67 57.64–65.70 56.35–67.00 | 72.47 68.14–76.79 66.83–78.10 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 11.53 8.69–14.36 7.93–15.12 | 11.79 8.85–14.73 8.10–15.48 | 23.32 17.53–29.10 16.03–30.60 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 1.35 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.73 | 2.77 0.52–5.03 0.00–5.62 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.17 0.81–3.44 | 1.73 0.61–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 3.86 1.68–6.04 1.12–6.59 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 2.88 1.33–4.44 0.90–4.86 | 5.80 2.80–8.79 1.99–9.60 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.