Liga I·Regular Season - 25·
Liga I·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
26%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.062.53safe0.50–2.440.21–1.920.71–4.36safer0.25–2.690.00–2.140.23–4.83
Shots on target
60%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.073.778.84safe3.21–6.932.03–5.525.24–12.45safer2.72–7.421.57–5.984.28–13.40
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4710.5826.05safe11.55–19.407.01–14.1418.56–33.54safer10.46–20.496.05–15.1016.51–35.59
Shots in box
74%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction9.636.5516.18safe6.69–12.583.87–9.2310.56–21.81safer5.86–13.413.13–9.978.99–23.37
Blocked shots
60%
15%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.732.576.30safe1.84–5.610.92–4.222.76–9.83safer1.30–6.150.42–4.711.72–10.87
Corners
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.563.869.42safe3.35–7.771.86–5.865.20–13.63safer2.77–8.351.32–6.394.10–14.74
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.4839.64safe53.69–67.2732.86–46.43safer52.02–68.9431.19–48.10
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction549353902safe482–617287–419769–1036safer464–635269–437733–1072
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction76.6668.25safe72.63–80.6963.92–72.57safer71.34–81.9862.61–73.88
Fouls
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7213.1924.91safe8.89–14.5610.24–16.1319.13–30.69safer8.13–15.329.49–16.8817.62–32.20
Offsides
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.392.96safe0.41–2.730.30–2.480.70–5.21safer0.10–3.030.01–2.770.11–5.80
Yellow cards
25%
19%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.524.21safe0.64–2.741.39–3.652.03–6.39safer0.38–3.011.10–3.941.48–6.95
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.150.22safe0.00–0.240.00–0.330.00–0.57safer0.00–0.390.00–0.470.00–0.85
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.573.476.04safe1.14–4.011.91–5.023.05–9.03safer0.75–4.401.49–5.452.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.50–2.44 0.25–2.69 | 1.06 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.14 | 2.53 0.71–4.36 0.23–4.83 | 47% 26% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.07 3.21–6.93 2.72–7.42 | 3.77 2.03–5.52 1.57–5.98 | 8.84 5.24–12.45 4.28–13.40 | 60% 27% |
| Total shots | 15.47 11.55–19.40 10.46–20.49 | 10.58 7.01–14.14 6.05–15.10 | 26.05 18.56–33.54 16.51–35.59 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 9.63 6.69–12.58 5.86–13.41 | 6.55 3.87–9.23 3.13–9.97 | 16.18 10.56–21.81 8.99–23.37 | 74% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 3.73 1.84–5.61 1.30–6.15 | 2.57 0.92–4.22 0.42–4.71 | 6.30 2.76–9.83 1.72–10.87 | 60% 15% 25% |
| Corners | 5.56 3.35–7.77 2.77–8.35 | 3.86 1.86–5.86 1.32–6.39 | 9.42 5.20–13.63 4.10–14.74 | 65% 23% |
| Possession % | 60.48 53.69–67.27 52.02–68.94 | 39.64 32.86–46.43 31.19–48.10 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 549 482–617 464–635 | 353 287–419 269–437 | 902 769–1036 733–1072 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.66 72.63–80.69 71.34–81.98 | 68.25 63.92–72.57 62.61–73.88 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.72 8.89–14.56 8.13–15.32 | 13.19 10.24–16.13 9.49–16.88 | 24.91 19.13–30.69 17.62–32.20 | 35% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.10–3.03 | 1.39 0.30–2.48 0.01–2.77 | 2.96 0.70–5.21 0.11–5.80 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.38–3.01 | 2.52 1.39–3.65 1.10–3.94 | 4.21 2.03–6.39 1.48–6.95 | 25% 19% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.57 1.14–4.01 0.75–4.40 | 3.47 1.91–5.02 1.49–5.45 | 6.04 3.05–9.03 2.24–9.85 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.