Liga I·Regular Season - 25·
Liga I·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
23%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.011.782.79safe0.04–1.980.93–2.640.97–4.61safer0.00–2.230.70–2.860.49–5.09
Shots on target
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.585.619.19safe1.72–5.453.87–7.355.59–12.80safer1.23–5.943.40–7.824.63–13.76
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3615.7926.16safe6.44–14.2912.23–19.3518.67–33.64safer5.35–15.3811.27–20.3116.62–35.70
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.1111.0217.13safe3.17–9.058.34–13.7011.51–22.75safer2.34–9.887.60–14.449.94–24.32
Blocked shots
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.984.927.90safe1.09–4.863.26–6.574.36–11.43safer0.55–5.402.77–7.063.32–12.47
Corners
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.275.699.96safe2.06–6.483.69–7.695.74–14.17safer1.48–7.063.15–8.224.64–15.28
Possession %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction43.7956.95safe37.00–50.5850.16–63.73safer35.33–52.2548.49–65.40
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction377472850safe310–445406–539716–983safer292–463388–556680–1019
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction67.2175.69safe63.18–71.2471.36–80.01safer61.89–72.5370.05–81.32
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1911.9522.15safe7.35–13.039.01–14.9016.36–27.93safer6.60–13.798.26–15.6514.86–29.43
Offsides
54%
21%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.181.473.65safe1.02–3.340.38–2.571.40–5.90safer0.72–3.640.09–2.850.81–6.49
Yellow cards
37%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.973.84safe0.82–2.920.84–3.101.66–6.02safer0.55–3.180.55–3.391.10–6.57
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
58%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.572.556.12safe2.13–5.000.99–4.113.13–9.11safer1.75–5.390.57–4.532.31–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.01 0.04–1.98 0.00–2.23 | 1.78 0.93–2.64 0.70–2.86 | 2.79 0.97–4.61 0.49–5.09 | 21% 23% 56% |
| Shots on target | 3.58 1.72–5.45 1.23–5.94 | 5.61 3.87–7.35 3.40–7.82 | 9.19 5.59–12.80 4.63–13.76 | 20% 69% |
| Total shots | 10.36 6.44–14.29 5.35–15.38 | 15.79 12.23–19.35 11.27–20.31 | 26.16 18.67–33.64 16.62–35.70 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 6.11 3.17–9.05 2.34–9.88 | 11.02 8.34–13.70 7.60–14.44 | 17.13 11.51–22.75 9.94–24.32 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 2.98 1.09–4.86 0.55–5.40 | 4.92 3.26–6.57 2.77–7.06 | 7.90 4.36–11.43 3.32–12.47 | 19% 70% |
| Corners | 4.27 2.06–6.48 1.48–7.06 | 5.69 3.69–7.69 3.15–8.22 | 9.96 5.74–14.17 4.64–15.28 | 27% 61% |
| Possession % | 43.79 37.00–50.58 35.33–52.25 | 56.95 50.16–63.73 48.49–65.40 | — | 20% 76% |
| Passes | 377 310–445 292–463 | 472 406–539 388–556 | 850 716–983 680–1019 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.21 63.18–71.24 61.89–72.53 | 75.69 71.36–80.01 70.05–81.32 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.19 7.35–13.03 6.60–13.79 | 11.95 9.01–14.90 8.26–15.65 | 22.15 16.36–27.93 14.86–29.43 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 2.18 1.02–3.34 0.72–3.64 | 1.47 0.38–2.57 0.09–2.85 | 3.65 1.40–5.90 0.81–6.49 | 54% 21% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.55–3.18 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.84 1.66–6.02 1.10–6.57 | 37% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.57 2.13–5.00 1.75–5.39 | 2.55 0.99–4.11 0.57–4.53 | 6.12 3.13–9.11 2.31–9.92 | 58% 15% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+