Liga I·Regular Season - 25·
Liga I·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
25%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.542.75safe0.24–2.180.69–2.400.93–4.57safer0.00–2.430.46–2.620.45–5.05
Shots on target
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.254.979.23safe2.39–6.123.23–6.725.62–12.83safer1.90–6.612.77–7.184.67–13.79
Total shots
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2614.8028.06safe9.34–17.1911.24–18.3620.57–35.55safer8.25–18.2810.28–19.3218.52–37.60
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction7.819.3317.15safe4.87–10.766.65–12.0111.52–22.77safer4.04–11.595.91–12.759.96–24.34
Blocked shots
36%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.253.716.96safe1.37–5.132.05–5.363.42–10.49safer0.83–5.681.56–5.852.39–11.53
Corners
36%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.695.289.97safe2.48–6.903.28–7.285.76–14.18safer1.90–7.482.75–7.814.65–15.29
Possession %
61%
35%
homeawayprediction52.8047.18safe46.01–59.5940.40–53.97safer44.34–61.2638.72–55.64
Passes
72%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction450381831safe383–518315–448698–965safer365–536297–465662–1001
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction69.5470.47safe65.51–73.5666.14–74.79safer64.21–74.8664.83–76.10
Fouls
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3814.5527.93safe10.54–16.2211.61–17.5022.15–33.72safer9.79–16.9710.86–18.2520.65–35.22
Offsides
44%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.473.21safe0.59–2.910.37–2.560.96–5.47safer0.29–3.210.08–2.850.37–6.06
Yellow cards
35%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.882.134.01safe0.83–2.931.00–3.261.83–6.18safer0.56–3.190.71–3.551.27–6.74
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.312.846.16safe1.88–4.751.29–4.403.16–9.15safer1.49–5.140.86–4.822.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.24–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 1.54 0.69–2.40 0.46–2.62 | 2.75 0.93–4.57 0.45–5.05 | 30% 25% 45% |
| Shots on target | 4.25 2.39–6.12 1.90–6.61 | 4.97 3.23–6.72 2.77–7.18 | 9.23 5.62–12.83 4.67–13.79 | 34% 53% |
| Total shots | 13.26 9.34–17.19 8.25–18.28 | 14.80 11.24–18.36 10.28–19.32 | 28.06 20.57–35.55 18.52–37.60 | 35% 58% |
| Shots in box | 7.81 4.87–10.76 4.04–11.59 | 9.33 6.65–12.01 5.91–12.75 | 17.15 11.52–22.77 9.96–24.34 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.25 1.37–5.13 0.83–5.68 | 3.71 2.05–5.36 1.56–5.85 | 6.96 3.42–10.49 2.39–11.53 | 36% 15% 49% |
| Corners | 4.69 2.48–6.90 1.90–7.48 | 5.28 3.28–7.28 2.75–7.81 | 9.97 5.76–14.18 4.65–15.29 | 36% 51% |
| Possession % | 52.80 46.01–59.59 44.34–61.26 | 47.18 40.40–53.97 38.72–55.64 | — | 61% 35% |
| Passes | 450 383–518 365–536 | 381 315–448 297–465 | 831 698–965 662–1001 | 72% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.54 65.51–73.56 64.21–74.86 | 70.47 66.14–74.79 64.83–76.10 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 13.38 10.54–16.22 9.79–16.97 | 14.55 11.61–17.50 10.86–18.25 | 27.93 22.15–33.72 20.65–35.22 | 38% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.29–3.21 | 1.47 0.37–2.56 0.08–2.85 | 3.21 0.96–5.47 0.37–6.06 | 44% 23% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.93 0.56–3.19 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 4.01 1.83–6.18 1.27–6.74 | 35% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.31 1.88–4.75 1.49–5.14 | 2.84 1.29–4.40 0.86–4.82 | 6.16 3.16–9.15 2.35–9.96 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.