Liga I·Regular Season - 25·
Liga I·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
18%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.320.903.23safe1.35–3.290.05–1.761.40–5.05safer1.10–3.540.00–1.990.92–5.53
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.843.6610.50safe4.98–8.711.91–5.406.89–14.11safer4.49–9.201.45–5.865.94–15.06
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction19.9010.7030.60safe15.97–23.827.14–14.2623.11–38.09safer14.88–24.916.18–15.2221.06–40.14
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction12.766.1918.95safe9.81–15.703.51–8.8713.32–24.57safer8.98–16.532.77–9.6111.76–26.14
Blocked shots
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.102.817.91safe3.22–6.981.16–4.464.37–11.44safer2.67–7.530.66–4.953.34–12.48
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.273.5110.78safe5.05–9.481.51–5.516.56–14.99safer4.48–10.060.97–6.045.46–16.10
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction61.2339.41safe54.44–68.0232.62–46.19safer52.77–69.6930.95–47.86
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction555334889safe487–622267–400755–1022safer469–640250–418719–1058
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction75.2067.42safe71.17–79.2363.09–71.74safer69.88–80.5261.78–73.05
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4911.1122.60safe8.65–14.338.17–14.0616.82–28.38safer7.90–15.087.42–14.8115.31–29.89
Offsides
46%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.373.12safe0.59–2.910.28–2.470.87–5.37safer0.28–3.210.00–2.750.28–5.96
Yellow cards
25%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.173.60safe0.39–2.481.04–3.301.42–5.78safer0.12–2.750.75–3.590.87–6.34
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.484.436.91safe1.04–3.922.88–5.993.92–9.91safer0.66–4.302.45–6.413.11–10.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.32 1.35–3.29 1.10–3.54 | 0.90 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 3.23 1.40–5.05 0.92–5.53 | 69% 18% 13% |
| Shots on target | 6.84 4.98–8.71 4.49–9.20 | 3.66 1.91–5.40 1.45–5.86 | 10.50 6.89–14.11 5.94–15.06 | 80% |
| Total shots | 19.90 15.97–23.82 14.88–24.91 | 10.70 7.14–14.26 6.18–15.22 | 30.60 23.11–38.09 21.06–40.14 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 12.76 9.81–15.70 8.98–16.53 | 6.19 3.51–8.87 2.77–9.61 | 18.95 13.32–24.57 11.76–26.14 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 5.10 3.22–6.98 2.67–7.53 | 2.81 1.16–4.46 0.66–4.95 | 7.91 4.37–11.44 3.34–12.48 | 74% 16% |
| Corners | 7.27 5.05–9.48 4.48–10.06 | 3.51 1.51–5.51 0.97–6.04 | 10.78 6.56–14.99 5.46–16.10 | 84% |
| Possession % | 61.23 54.44–68.02 52.77–69.69 | 39.41 32.62–46.19 30.95–47.86 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 555 487–622 469–640 | 334 267–400 250–418 | 889 755–1022 719–1058 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.20 71.17–79.23 69.88–80.52 | 67.42 63.09–71.74 61.78–73.05 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 11.49 8.65–14.33 7.90–15.08 | 11.11 8.17–14.06 7.42–14.81 | 22.60 16.82–28.38 15.31–29.89 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.28–3.21 | 1.37 0.28–2.47 0.00–2.75 | 3.12 0.87–5.37 0.28–5.96 | 46% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.39–2.48 0.12–2.75 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 3.60 1.42–5.78 0.87–6.34 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.04–3.92 0.66–4.30 | 4.43 2.88–5.99 2.45–6.41 | 6.91 3.92–9.91 3.11–10.72 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+