La Liga·Regular Season - 8·
La Liga·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
24%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction0.791.712.50safe0.00–1.760.86–2.570.68–4.32safer0.00–2.010.63–2.800.20–4.80
Shots on target
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.855.127.97safe0.99–4.713.38–6.864.37–11.58safer0.50–5.202.91–7.333.41–12.53
Total shots
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6114.0723.68safe5.69–13.5410.51–17.6316.20–31.17safer4.60–14.639.55–18.5914.15–33.22
Shots in box
14%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.799.4615.25safe2.85–8.746.77–12.149.63–20.87safer2.02–9.566.04–12.878.06–22.44
Blocked shots
18%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.414.216.62safe0.53–4.292.56–5.863.08–10.15safer0.00–4.832.06–6.362.05–11.19
Corners
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.415.548.96safe1.20–5.633.54–7.544.75–13.17safer0.63–6.203.01–8.083.64–14.28
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.7062.42safe31.91–45.4955.63–69.20safer30.24–47.1653.96–70.87
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction343563906safe276–410496–629772–1039safer258–428479–647736–1075
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction61.8277.30safe57.79–65.8572.98–81.63safer56.49–67.1471.67–82.94
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8911.7824.66safe10.05–15.728.83–14.7218.88–30.45safer9.29–16.488.09–15.4717.38–31.95
Offsides
29%
19%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.414.19safe0.62–2.941.32–3.501.94–6.44safer0.32–3.241.03–3.791.35–7.03
Yellow cards
45%
19%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.532.304.83safe1.48–3.581.17–3.422.65–7.01safer1.22–3.850.87–3.722.09–7.56
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.22safe0.00–0.280.00–0.280.00–0.57safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
59%
16%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.232.215.44safe1.79–4.670.65–3.762.45–8.43safer1.41–5.050.23–4.191.63–9.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.79 0.00–1.76 0.00–2.01 | 1.71 0.86–2.57 0.63–2.80 | 2.50 0.68–4.32 0.20–4.80 | 17% 24% 60% |
| Shots on target | 2.85 0.99–4.71 0.50–5.20 | 5.12 3.38–6.86 2.91–7.33 | 7.97 4.37–11.58 3.41–12.53 | 16% 74% |
| Total shots | 9.61 5.69–13.54 4.60–14.63 | 14.07 10.51–17.63 9.55–18.59 | 23.68 16.20–31.17 14.15–33.22 | 15% 79% |
| Shots in box | 5.79 2.85–8.74 2.02–9.56 | 9.46 6.77–12.14 6.04–12.87 | 15.25 9.63–20.87 8.06–22.44 | 14% 79% |
| Blocked shots | 2.41 0.53–4.29 0.00–4.83 | 4.21 2.56–5.86 2.06–6.36 | 6.62 3.08–10.15 2.05–11.19 | 18% 69% |
| Corners | 3.41 1.20–5.63 0.63–6.20 | 5.54 3.54–7.54 3.01–8.08 | 8.96 4.75–13.17 3.64–14.28 | 19% 71% |
| Possession % | 38.70 31.91–45.49 30.24–47.16 | 62.42 55.63–69.20 53.96–70.87 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 343 276–410 258–428 | 563 496–629 479–647 | 906 772–1039 736–1075 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.82 57.79–65.85 56.49–67.14 | 77.30 72.98–81.63 71.67–82.94 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 12.89 10.05–15.72 9.29–16.48 | 11.78 8.83–14.72 8.09–15.47 | 24.66 18.88–30.45 17.38–31.95 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 2.41 1.32–3.50 1.03–3.79 | 4.19 1.94–6.44 1.35–7.03 | 29% 19% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 2.53 1.48–3.58 1.22–3.85 | 2.30 1.17–3.42 0.87–3.72 | 4.83 2.65–7.01 2.09–7.56 | 45% 19% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.23 1.79–4.67 1.41–5.05 | 2.21 0.65–3.76 0.23–4.19 | 5.44 2.45–8.43 1.63–9.24 | 59% 16% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+