La Liga·Regular Season - 34·
La Liga·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
21%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction1.940.782.72safe0.97–2.900.00–1.640.90–4.54safer0.72–3.160.00–1.870.42–5.02
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction5.922.458.37safe4.06–7.780.71–4.194.76–11.97safer3.57–8.270.24–4.663.81–12.93
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction16.558.2624.81safe12.63–20.484.70–11.8217.32–32.30safer11.54–21.573.74–12.7815.27–34.35
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.145.3016.44safe8.20–14.092.62–7.9810.82–22.06safer7.37–14.911.88–8.729.25–23.63
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction4.491.986.47safe2.61–6.370.33–3.632.93–10.01safer2.07–6.920.00–4.121.90–11.04
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.082.9210.01safe4.87–9.300.92–4.925.79–14.22safer4.30–9.870.39–5.464.69–15.33
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.5334.72safe58.74–72.3227.93–41.50safer57.07–73.9926.26–43.17
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction628303931safe561–696237–369798–1065safer543–714219–387762–1101
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction76.8764.99safe72.84–80.9060.67–69.32safer71.55–82.1959.36–70.63
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1412.1023.24safe8.30–13.989.16–15.0517.46–29.02safer7.54–14.738.41–15.8015.95–30.53
Offsides
53%
20%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.291.613.90safe1.12–3.450.52–2.711.64–6.15safer0.82–3.750.23–2.991.05–6.74
Yellow cards
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.452.123.58safe0.40–2.500.99–3.251.40–5.75safer0.14–2.770.70–3.540.84–6.31
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
15%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction1.913.785.69safe0.47–3.352.23–5.342.70–8.69safer0.09–3.731.80–5.761.89–9.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.94 0.97–2.90 0.72–3.16 | 0.78 0.00–1.64 0.00–1.87 | 2.72 0.90–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 65% 21% 14% |
| Shots on target | 5.92 4.06–7.78 3.57–8.27 | 2.45 0.71–4.19 0.24–4.66 | 8.37 4.76–11.97 3.81–12.93 | 85% |
| Total shots | 16.55 12.63–20.48 11.54–21.57 | 8.26 4.70–11.82 3.74–12.78 | 24.81 17.32–32.30 15.27–34.35 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.14 8.20–14.09 7.37–14.91 | 5.30 2.62–7.98 1.88–8.72 | 16.44 10.82–22.06 9.25–23.63 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.49 2.61–6.37 2.07–6.92 | 1.98 0.33–3.63 0.00–4.12 | 6.47 2.93–10.01 1.90–11.04 | 79% |
| Corners | 7.08 4.87–9.30 4.30–9.87 | 2.92 0.92–4.92 0.39–5.46 | 10.01 5.79–14.22 4.69–15.33 | 88% |
| Possession % | 65.53 58.74–72.32 57.07–73.99 | 34.72 27.93–41.50 26.26–43.17 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 628 561–696 543–714 | 303 237–369 219–387 | 931 798–1065 762–1101 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.87 72.84–80.90 71.55–82.19 | 64.99 60.67–69.32 59.36–70.63 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 11.14 8.30–13.98 7.54–14.73 | 12.10 9.16–15.05 8.41–15.80 | 23.24 17.46–29.02 15.95–30.53 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 2.29 1.12–3.45 0.82–3.75 | 1.61 0.52–2.71 0.23–2.99 | 3.90 1.64–6.15 1.05–6.74 | 53% 20% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.50 0.14–2.77 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 3.58 1.40–5.75 0.84–6.31 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 1.91 0.47–3.35 0.09–3.73 | 3.78 2.23–5.34 1.80–5.76 | 5.69 2.70–8.69 1.89–9.50 | 15% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.