Predicted match statistics
Goals
90%
homeawaytotalprediction3.540.594.13safe2.57–4.510.00–1.442.31–5.95safer2.32–4.760.00–1.671.83–6.43
Shots on target
97%
homeawaytotalprediction8.862.1811.04safe7.00–10.720.44–3.927.43–14.64safer6.51–11.210.00–4.396.48–15.60
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction22.056.6128.66safe18.12–25.973.05–10.1721.17–36.15safer17.03–27.072.09–11.1319.12–38.20
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction14.733.7318.46safe11.79–17.671.05–6.4212.84–24.09safer10.96–18.500.32–7.1511.27–25.65
Blocked shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction5.911.127.03safe4.02–7.790.00–2.773.49–10.56safer3.48–8.330.00–3.272.46–11.60
Corners
98%
homeawaytotalprediction9.342.4011.74safe7.13–11.560.40–4.407.53–15.95safer6.55–12.130.00–4.936.42–17.06
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction77.1021.56safe70.31–83.8914.78–28.35safer68.64–85.5613.11–30.02
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction780203983safe713–847137–269849–1116safer694–865119–287813–1152
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction84.8061.86safe80.77–88.8357.54–66.19safer79.48–90.1356.23–67.50
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2911.9922.27safe7.45–13.139.04–14.9316.49–28.06safer6.69–13.888.29–15.6814.99–29.56
Offsides
24%
16%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.003.085.08safe0.84–3.161.99–4.182.83–7.34safer0.54–3.461.70–4.472.24–7.92
Yellow cards
15%
18%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.072.443.51safe0.02–2.121.31–3.571.33–5.69safer0.00–2.381.02–3.860.77–6.24
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.17safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
90%
homeawaytotalprediction1.685.467.14safe0.24–3.113.90–7.014.14–10.13safer0.00–3.503.48–7.443.33–10.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.54 2.57–4.51 2.32–4.76 | 0.59 0.00–1.44 0.00–1.67 | 4.13 2.31–5.95 1.83–6.43 | 90% |
| Shots on target | 8.86 7.00–10.72 6.51–11.21 | 2.18 0.44–3.92 0.00–4.39 | 11.04 7.43–14.64 6.48–15.60 | 97% |
| Total shots | 22.05 18.12–25.97 17.03–27.07 | 6.61 3.05–10.17 2.09–11.13 | 28.66 21.17–36.15 19.12–38.20 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 14.73 11.79–17.67 10.96–18.50 | 3.73 1.05–6.42 0.32–7.15 | 18.46 12.84–24.09 11.27–25.65 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.91 4.02–7.79 3.48–8.33 | 1.12 0.00–2.77 0.00–3.27 | 7.03 3.49–10.56 2.46–11.60 | 96% |
| Corners | 9.34 7.13–11.56 6.55–12.13 | 2.40 0.40–4.40 0.00–4.93 | 11.74 7.53–15.95 6.42–17.06 | 98% |
| Possession % | 77.10 70.31–83.89 68.64–85.56 | 21.56 14.78–28.35 13.11–30.02 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 780 713–847 694–865 | 203 137–269 119–287 | 983 849–1116 813–1152 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.80 80.77–88.83 79.48–90.13 | 61.86 57.54–66.19 56.23–67.50 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 10.29 7.45–13.13 6.69–13.88 | 11.99 9.04–14.93 8.29–15.68 | 22.27 16.49–28.06 14.99–29.56 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.46 | 3.08 1.99–4.18 1.70–4.47 | 5.08 2.83–7.34 2.24–7.92 | 24% 16% 60% |
| Yellow cards | 1.07 0.02–2.12 0.00–2.38 | 2.44 1.31–3.57 1.02–3.86 | 3.51 1.33–5.69 0.77–6.24 | 15% 18% 67% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.68 0.24–3.11 0.00–3.50 | 5.46 3.90–7.01 3.48–7.44 | 7.14 4.14–10.13 3.33–10.94 | 90% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.