Predicted match statistics
Goals
13%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.752.733.48safe0.00–1.721.88–3.591.66–5.30safer0.00–1.971.65–3.821.18–5.78
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction2.967.5110.48safe1.10–4.835.77–9.266.87–14.08safer0.61–5.325.30–9.725.92–15.04
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction8.6520.3128.96safe4.73–12.5816.75–23.8721.48–36.45safer3.64–13.6715.79–24.8319.42–38.50
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction5.2414.3119.55safe2.30–8.1811.63–16.9913.93–25.18safer1.47–9.0110.89–17.7312.36–26.74
Blocked shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction1.925.797.70safe0.04–3.804.13–7.444.17–11.24safer0.00–4.343.64–7.933.13–12.28
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction2.886.839.71safe0.66–5.094.83–8.835.49–13.92safer0.09–5.664.30–9.364.39–15.03
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction20.3379.97safe13.54–27.1273.19–86.75safer11.87–28.7971.51–88.43
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction2228051027safe155–289739–872893–1161safer136–307721–889858–1196
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction56.1986.75safe52.16–60.2282.42–91.07safer50.87–61.5181.12–92.38
Fouls
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction12.399.4521.85safe9.56–15.236.51–12.4016.06–27.63safer8.80–15.995.76–13.1414.56–29.13
Offsides
71%
13%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction3.641.865.50safe2.48–4.800.77–2.953.24–7.75safer2.18–5.100.48–3.242.65–8.34
Yellow cards
58%
21%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.131.243.38safe1.08–3.180.11–2.371.20–5.55safer0.82–3.450.00–2.660.64–6.11
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction4.622.056.67safe3.18–6.060.49–3.613.68–9.66safer2.80–6.440.07–4.032.86–10.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.75 0.00–1.72 0.00–1.97 | 2.73 1.88–3.59 1.65–3.82 | 3.48 1.66–5.30 1.18–5.78 | 13% 79% |
| Shots on target | 2.96 1.10–4.83 0.61–5.32 | 7.51 5.77–9.26 5.30–9.72 | 10.48 6.87–14.08 5.92–15.04 | 90% |
| Total shots | 8.65 4.73–12.58 3.64–13.67 | 20.31 16.75–23.87 15.79–24.83 | 28.96 21.48–36.45 19.42–38.50 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 5.24 2.30–8.18 1.47–9.01 | 14.31 11.63–16.99 10.89–17.73 | 19.55 13.93–25.18 12.36–26.74 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 1.92 0.04–3.80 0.00–4.34 | 5.79 4.13–7.44 3.64–7.93 | 7.70 4.17–11.24 3.13–12.28 | 89% |
| Corners | 2.88 0.66–5.09 0.09–5.66 | 6.83 4.83–8.83 4.30–9.36 | 9.71 5.49–13.92 4.39–15.03 | 87% |
| Possession % | 20.33 13.54–27.12 11.87–28.79 | 79.97 73.19–86.75 71.51–88.43 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 222 155–289 136–307 | 805 739–872 721–889 | 1027 893–1161 858–1196 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 56.19 52.16–60.22 50.87–61.51 | 86.75 82.42–91.07 81.12–92.38 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 12.39 9.56–15.23 8.80–15.99 | 9.45 6.51–12.40 5.76–13.14 | 21.85 16.06–27.63 14.56–29.13 | 70% 23% |
| Offsides | 3.64 2.48–4.80 2.18–5.10 | 1.86 0.77–2.95 0.48–3.24 | 5.50 3.24–7.75 2.65–8.34 | 71% 13% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 2.13 1.08–3.18 0.82–3.45 | 1.24 0.11–2.37 0.00–2.66 | 3.38 1.20–5.55 0.64–6.11 | 58% 21% 22% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 4.62 3.18–6.06 2.80–6.44 | 2.05 0.49–3.61 0.07–4.03 | 6.67 3.68–9.66 2.86–10.47 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.