La Liga·Regular Season - 8·
La Liga·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.390.813.20safe1.42–3.360.00–1.661.37–5.02safer1.17–3.610.00–1.890.89–5.50
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction6.942.739.67safe5.08–8.810.99–4.476.07–13.28safer4.59–9.300.52–4.945.11–14.23
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction19.387.3926.77safe15.45–23.303.83–10.9619.28–34.26safer14.36–24.392.87–11.9217.23–36.31
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction12.275.1517.42safe9.33–15.212.47–7.8311.80–23.04safer8.50–16.041.73–8.5710.23–24.61
Blocked shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction5.811.887.69safe3.92–7.690.23–3.544.15–11.22safer3.38–8.230.00–4.033.12–12.26
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.593.0210.61safe5.38–9.801.02–5.026.39–14.82safer4.80–10.380.48–5.555.29–15.93
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.1533.84safe58.36–71.9427.06–40.63safer56.69–73.6125.39–42.30
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction644320964safe577–711253–386830–1097safer558–729236–404794–1133
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction77.8465.94safe73.81–81.8761.62–70.27safer72.52–83.1660.31–71.58
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8013.8625.66safe8.96–14.6410.92–16.8119.88–31.45safer8.21–15.3910.17–17.5618.38–32.95
Offsides
20%
18%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.402.553.95safe0.24–2.561.46–3.641.70–6.21safer0.00–2.861.17–3.931.11–6.79
Yellow cards
14%
15%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction1.262.924.19safe0.21–2.311.80–4.052.01–6.36safer0.00–2.581.50–4.341.45–6.92
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.17safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
82%
homeawaytotalprediction1.864.626.48safe0.42–3.303.06–6.183.49–9.47safer0.04–3.682.64–6.602.67–10.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.39 1.42–3.36 1.17–3.61 | 0.81 0.00–1.66 0.00–1.89 | 3.20 1.37–5.02 0.89–5.50 | 72% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.94 5.08–8.81 4.59–9.30 | 2.73 0.99–4.47 0.52–4.94 | 9.67 6.07–13.28 5.11–14.23 | 89% |
| Total shots | 19.38 15.45–23.30 14.36–24.39 | 7.39 3.83–10.96 2.87–11.92 | 26.77 19.28–34.26 17.23–36.31 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 12.27 9.33–15.21 8.50–16.04 | 5.15 2.47–7.83 1.73–8.57 | 17.42 11.80–23.04 10.23–24.61 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.81 3.92–7.69 3.38–8.23 | 1.88 0.23–3.54 0.00–4.03 | 7.69 4.15–11.22 3.12–12.26 | 90% |
| Corners | 7.59 5.38–9.80 4.80–10.38 | 3.02 1.02–5.02 0.48–5.55 | 10.61 6.39–14.82 5.29–15.93 | 90% |
| Possession % | 65.15 58.36–71.94 56.69–73.61 | 33.84 27.06–40.63 25.39–42.30 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 644 577–711 558–729 | 320 253–386 236–404 | 964 830–1097 794–1133 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.84 73.81–81.87 72.52–83.16 | 65.94 61.62–70.27 60.31–71.58 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 11.80 8.96–14.64 8.21–15.39 | 13.86 10.92–16.81 10.17–17.56 | 25.66 19.88–31.45 18.38–32.95 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.40 0.24–2.56 0.00–2.86 | 2.55 1.46–3.64 1.17–3.93 | 3.95 1.70–6.21 1.11–6.79 | 20% 18% 62% |
| Yellow cards | 1.26 0.21–2.31 0.00–2.58 | 2.92 1.80–4.05 1.50–4.34 | 4.19 2.01–6.36 1.45–6.92 | 14% 15% 71% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.86 0.42–3.30 0.04–3.68 | 4.62 3.06–6.18 2.64–6.60 | 6.48 3.49–9.47 2.67–10.28 | 82% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.