La Liga·Regular Season - 36·
La Liga·Regular Season - 36·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
21%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction0.922.042.96safe0.00–1.891.19–2.901.14–4.78safer0.00–2.140.96–3.120.66–5.26
Shots on target
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.275.979.24safe1.41–5.134.23–7.715.64–12.85safer0.92–5.623.76–8.184.68–13.80
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6516.7826.43safe5.73–13.5813.21–20.3418.94–33.92safer4.64–14.6712.26–21.3016.89–35.97
Shots in box
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.8910.7517.64safe3.95–9.838.07–13.4312.02–23.27safer3.12–10.667.34–14.1710.45–24.83
Blocked shots
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.704.967.66safe0.82–4.583.31–6.614.13–11.20safer0.27–5.132.82–7.113.09–12.23
Corners
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.655.709.35safe1.44–5.863.70–7.705.13–13.56safer0.86–6.443.16–8.234.03–14.67
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction36.1664.41safe29.37–42.9557.62–71.19safer27.70–44.6255.95–72.87
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction338600938safe271–405533–666804–1072safer253–423516–684769–1107
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction63.1778.76safe59.14–67.2074.44–83.09safer57.85–68.4973.13–84.39
Fouls
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3911.5724.96safe10.56–16.238.62–14.5119.18–30.74safer9.80–16.997.87–15.2617.67–32.25
Offsides
66%
17%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.691.364.05safe1.53–3.850.27–2.451.80–6.31safer1.23–4.150.00–2.741.21–6.90
Yellow cards
56%
19%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.391.573.96safe1.35–3.440.44–2.691.78–6.14safer1.08–3.710.15–2.991.22–6.70
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.080.23safe0.00–0.310.00–0.260.00–0.57safer0.00–0.460.00–0.400.00–0.86
GK saves
67%
13%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.022.406.41safe2.58–5.450.84–3.953.42–9.40safer2.19–5.840.41–4.382.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.92 0.00–1.89 0.00–2.14 | 2.04 1.19–2.90 0.96–3.12 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 16% 21% 63% |
| Shots on target | 3.27 1.41–5.13 0.92–5.62 | 5.97 4.23–7.71 3.76–8.18 | 9.24 5.64–12.85 4.68–13.80 | 14% 77% |
| Total shots | 9.65 5.73–13.58 4.64–14.67 | 16.78 13.21–20.34 12.26–21.30 | 26.43 18.94–33.92 16.89–35.97 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 6.89 3.95–9.83 3.12–10.66 | 10.75 8.07–13.43 7.34–14.17 | 17.64 12.02–23.27 10.45–24.83 | 15% 79% |
| Blocked shots | 2.70 0.82–4.58 0.27–5.13 | 4.96 3.31–6.61 2.82–7.11 | 7.66 4.13–11.20 3.09–12.23 | 16% 74% |
| Corners | 3.65 1.44–5.86 0.86–6.44 | 5.70 3.70–7.70 3.16–8.23 | 9.35 5.13–13.56 4.03–14.67 | 20% 69% |
| Possession % | 36.16 29.37–42.95 27.70–44.62 | 64.41 57.62–71.19 55.95–72.87 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 338 271–405 253–423 | 600 533–666 516–684 | 938 804–1072 769–1107 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.17 59.14–67.20 57.85–68.49 | 78.76 74.44–83.09 73.13–84.39 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 13.39 10.56–16.23 9.80–16.99 | 11.57 8.62–14.51 7.87–15.26 | 24.96 19.18–30.74 17.67–32.25 | 60% 32% |
| Offsides | 2.69 1.53–3.85 1.23–4.15 | 1.36 0.27–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 4.05 1.80–6.31 1.21–6.90 | 66% 17% 17% |
| Yellow cards | 2.39 1.35–3.44 1.08–3.71 | 1.57 0.44–2.69 0.15–2.99 | 3.96 1.78–6.14 1.22–6.70 | 56% 19% 25% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 4.02 2.58–5.45 2.19–5.84 | 2.40 0.84–3.95 0.41–4.38 | 6.41 3.42–9.40 2.61–10.22 | 67% 13% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.