La Liga·Regular Season - 8·
La Liga·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
27%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.312.55safe0.27–2.210.46–2.170.73–4.37safer0.02–2.460.23–2.390.25–4.85
Shots on target
42%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.404.508.90safe2.54–6.262.76–6.245.29–12.50safer2.05–6.752.29–6.714.34–13.46
Total shots
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0012.2325.22safe9.07–16.928.66–15.7917.74–32.71safer7.98–18.017.70–16.7515.69–34.76
Shots in box
35%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction7.168.2115.37safe4.22–10.105.53–10.899.74–20.99safer3.39–10.934.79–11.628.18–22.56
Blocked shots
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.442.596.03safe1.56–5.320.94–4.252.50–9.57safer1.01–5.870.45–4.741.46–10.61
Corners
51%
13%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.934.369.30safe2.72–7.152.36–6.365.08–13.51safer2.15–7.721.83–6.903.97–14.62
Possession %
58%
38%
homeawayprediction52.0347.73safe45.24–58.8240.95–54.52safer43.57–60.4939.28–56.19
Passes
64%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction483440923safe416–551373–506789–1057safer398–569356–524754–1092
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction67.6269.80safe63.59–71.6565.48–74.13safer62.29–72.9464.17–75.44
Fouls
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6414.6127.25safe9.80–15.4711.67–17.5621.46–33.03safer9.04–16.2310.92–18.3019.96–34.53
Offsides
76%
homeawaytotalprediction1.453.484.94safe0.29–2.612.39–4.582.68–7.19safer0.00–2.912.10–4.862.09–7.78
Yellow cards
36%
18%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.512.795.29safe1.46–3.561.66–3.923.12–7.47safer1.19–3.821.37–4.212.56–8.03
Red cards
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.140.29safe0.00–0.310.00–0.330.00–0.64safer0.00–0.460.00–0.460.00–0.92
GK saves
38%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.853.105.95safe1.42–4.291.54–4.662.96–8.95safer1.03–4.681.12–5.082.15–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.21 0.02–2.46 | 1.31 0.46–2.17 0.23–2.39 | 2.55 0.73–4.37 0.25–4.85 | 35% 27% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.40 2.54–6.26 2.05–6.75 | 4.50 2.76–6.24 2.29–6.71 | 8.90 5.29–12.50 4.34–13.46 | 42% 14% 45% |
| Total shots | 13.00 9.07–16.92 7.98–18.01 | 12.23 8.66–15.79 7.70–16.75 | 25.22 17.74–32.71 15.69–34.76 | 52% 40% |
| Shots in box | 7.16 4.22–10.10 3.39–10.93 | 8.21 5.53–10.89 4.79–11.62 | 15.37 9.74–20.99 8.18–22.56 | 35% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 3.44 1.56–5.32 1.01–5.87 | 2.59 0.94–4.25 0.45–4.74 | 6.03 2.50–9.57 1.46–10.61 | 55% 16% 29% |
| Corners | 4.93 2.72–7.15 2.15–7.72 | 4.36 2.36–6.36 1.83–6.90 | 9.30 5.08–13.51 3.97–14.62 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Possession % | 52.03 45.24–58.82 43.57–60.49 | 47.73 40.95–54.52 39.28–56.19 | — | 58% 38% |
| Passes | 483 416–551 398–569 | 440 373–506 356–524 | 923 789–1057 754–1092 | 64% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.62 63.59–71.65 62.29–72.94 | 69.80 65.48–74.13 64.17–75.44 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 12.64 9.80–15.47 9.04–16.23 | 14.61 11.67–17.56 10.92–18.30 | 27.25 21.46–33.03 19.96–34.53 | 32% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 3.48 2.39–4.58 2.10–4.86 | 4.94 2.68–7.19 2.09–7.78 | 76% |
| Yellow cards | 2.51 1.46–3.56 1.19–3.82 | 2.79 1.66–3.92 1.37–4.21 | 5.29 3.12–7.47 2.56–8.03 | 36% 18% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.29 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.92 | 76% |
| GK saves | 2.85 1.42–4.29 1.03–4.68 | 3.10 1.54–4.66 1.12–5.08 | 5.95 2.96–8.95 2.15–9.76 | 38% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.