Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
28%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.272.41safe0.17–2.110.41–2.120.58–4.23safer0.00–2.360.19–2.350.10–4.71
Shots on target
33%
14%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.574.277.83safe1.70–5.432.53–6.014.23–11.44safer1.21–5.922.06–6.483.27–12.39
Total shots
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9212.4523.37safe7.00–14.858.89–16.0115.88–30.86safer5.91–15.947.93–16.9713.83–32.91
Shots in box
34%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction7.038.1215.15safe4.09–9.975.44–10.809.52–20.77safer3.26–10.804.70–11.537.96–22.34
Blocked shots
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.073.146.21safe1.19–4.951.48–4.792.67–9.74safer0.64–5.500.99–5.281.64–10.78
Corners
35%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.345.039.37safe2.13–6.553.03–7.035.16–13.58safer1.55–7.132.50–7.564.05–14.69
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction50.7650.47safe43.97–57.5543.69–57.26safer42.30–59.2242.02–58.93
Passes
62%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction441403843safe374–508336–469710–977safer355–526319–487674–1013
Pass accuracy %
25%
70%
homeawayprediction66.9471.57safe62.91–70.9767.25–75.90safer61.62–72.2665.94–77.21
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5313.1526.68safe10.69–16.3710.21–16.1020.90–32.46safer9.94–17.129.46–16.8419.39–33.97
Offsides
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.193.90safe0.55–2.871.10–3.281.65–6.16safer0.25–3.170.81–3.571.06–6.75
Yellow cards
34%
19%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.072.424.48safe1.02–3.121.29–3.542.30–6.66safer0.75–3.381.00–3.841.75–7.22
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.23safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.86
GK saves
51%
17%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.952.405.36safe1.52–4.390.85–3.962.36–8.35safer1.13–4.780.42–4.381.55–9.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.17–2.11 0.00–2.36 | 1.27 0.41–2.12 0.19–2.35 | 2.41 0.58–4.23 0.10–4.71 | 33% 28% 39% |
| Shots on target | 3.57 1.70–5.43 1.21–5.92 | 4.27 2.53–6.01 2.06–6.48 | 7.83 4.23–11.44 3.27–12.39 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Total shots | 10.92 7.00–14.85 5.91–15.94 | 12.45 8.89–16.01 7.93–16.97 | 23.37 15.88–30.86 13.83–32.91 | 34% 58% |
| Shots in box | 7.03 4.09–9.97 3.26–10.80 | 8.12 5.44–10.80 4.70–11.53 | 15.15 9.52–20.77 7.96–22.34 | 34% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.07 1.19–4.95 0.64–5.50 | 3.14 1.48–4.79 0.99–5.28 | 6.21 2.67–9.74 1.64–10.78 | 41% 16% 43% |
| Corners | 4.34 2.13–6.55 1.55–7.13 | 5.03 3.03–7.03 2.50–7.56 | 9.37 5.16–13.58 4.05–14.69 | 35% 52% |
| Possession % | 50.76 43.97–57.55 42.30–59.22 | 50.47 43.69–57.26 42.02–58.93 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 441 374–508 355–526 | 403 336–469 319–487 | 843 710–977 674–1013 | 62% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.94 62.91–70.97 61.62–72.26 | 71.57 67.25–75.90 65.94–77.21 | — | 25% 70% |
| Fouls | 13.53 10.69–16.37 9.94–17.12 | 13.15 10.21–16.10 9.46–16.84 | 26.68 20.90–32.46 19.39–33.97 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 2.19 1.10–3.28 0.81–3.57 | 3.90 1.65–6.16 1.06–6.75 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 2.07 1.02–3.12 0.75–3.38 | 2.42 1.29–3.54 1.00–3.84 | 4.48 2.30–6.66 1.75–7.22 | 34% 19% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.95 1.52–4.39 1.13–4.78 | 2.40 0.85–3.96 0.42–4.38 | 5.36 2.36–8.35 1.55–9.16 | 51% 17% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.