Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
25%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.550.972.53safe0.59–2.520.12–1.830.70–4.35safer0.33–2.770.00–2.060.22–4.83
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.923.308.22safe3.05–6.781.56–5.044.61–11.82safer2.57–7.271.09–5.513.66–12.78
Total shots
82%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction14.949.9724.90safe11.01–18.866.40–13.5317.41–32.39safer9.92–19.955.44–14.4915.36–34.44
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.336.5715.89safe6.39–12.273.89–9.2510.27–21.52safer5.56–13.103.15–9.998.70–23.08
Blocked shots
63%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.772.436.20safe1.89–5.660.78–4.082.67–9.74safer1.35–6.200.28–4.581.63–10.77
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.713.879.58safe3.50–7.931.87–5.875.37–13.79safer2.93–8.501.33–6.404.26–14.90
Possession %
58%
38%
homeawayprediction52.2347.89safe45.44–59.0241.10–54.67safer43.77–60.6939.43–56.34
Passes
61%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction443409852safe375–510343–476718–986safer357–528326–493683–1021
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction69.0669.15safe65.03–73.0964.82–73.47safer63.74–74.3863.51–74.78
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5212.6925.21safe9.68–15.359.75–15.6419.43–30.99safer8.92–16.119.00–16.3917.92–32.50
Offsides
52%
20%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.291.673.97safe1.13–3.450.58–2.771.71–6.22safer0.83–3.760.29–3.051.12–6.81
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.052.254.29safe1.00–3.091.12–3.382.12–6.47safer0.73–3.360.83–3.671.56–7.03
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.343.545.88safe0.90–3.781.98–5.092.89–8.87safer0.52–4.161.56–5.522.07–9.68
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.59–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 0.97 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.53 0.70–4.35 0.22–4.83 | 51% 25% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.92 3.05–6.78 2.57–7.27 | 3.30 1.56–5.04 1.09–5.51 | 8.22 4.61–11.82 3.66–12.78 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 14.94 11.01–18.86 9.92–19.95 | 9.97 6.40–13.53 5.44–14.49 | 24.90 17.41–32.39 15.36–34.44 | 82% 14% |
| Shots in box | 9.33 6.39–12.27 5.56–13.10 | 6.57 3.89–9.25 3.15–9.99 | 15.89 10.27–21.52 8.70–23.08 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 3.77 1.89–5.66 1.35–6.20 | 2.43 0.78–4.08 0.28–4.58 | 6.20 2.67–9.74 1.63–10.77 | 63% 14% 23% |
| Corners | 5.71 3.50–7.93 2.93–8.50 | 3.87 1.87–5.87 1.33–6.40 | 9.58 5.37–13.79 4.26–14.90 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 52.23 45.44–59.02 43.77–60.69 | 47.89 41.10–54.67 39.43–56.34 | — | 58% 38% |
| Passes | 443 375–510 357–528 | 409 343–476 326–493 | 852 718–986 683–1021 | 61% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.06 65.03–73.09 63.74–74.38 | 69.15 64.82–73.47 63.51–74.78 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 12.52 9.68–15.35 8.92–16.11 | 12.69 9.75–15.64 9.00–16.39 | 25.21 19.43–30.99 17.92–32.50 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 2.29 1.13–3.45 0.83–3.76 | 1.67 0.58–2.77 0.29–3.05 | 3.97 1.71–6.22 1.12–6.81 | 52% 20% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.09 0.73–3.36 | 2.25 1.12–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 4.29 2.12–6.47 1.56–7.03 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.90–3.78 0.52–4.16 | 3.54 1.98–5.09 1.56–5.52 | 5.88 2.89–8.87 2.07–9.68 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.