Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
25%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.041.572.61safe0.08–2.010.72–2.420.79–4.44safer0.00–2.260.49–2.650.31–4.92
Shots on target
35%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.974.578.55safe2.11–5.842.83–6.324.94–12.15safer1.62–6.332.37–6.783.99–13.11
Total shots
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5513.6526.20safe8.62–16.4710.09–17.2118.71–33.69safer7.53–17.579.13–18.1716.66–35.74
Shots in box
27%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction6.848.7815.63safe3.90–9.796.10–11.4710.01–21.25safer3.07–10.625.37–12.208.44–22.82
Blocked shots
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.203.496.69safe1.32–5.091.84–5.143.16–10.23safer0.78–5.631.34–5.632.12–11.26
Corners
42%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.915.059.95safe2.69–7.123.05–7.055.74–14.17safer2.12–7.692.51–7.584.63–15.28
Possession %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction51.3348.94safe44.54–58.1242.15–55.72safer42.87–59.7940.48–57.40
Passes
60%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction428397825safe361–495330–463691–958safer343–513313–481655–994
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction66.7469.38safe62.71–70.7765.06–73.70safer61.42–72.0663.75–75.01
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8014.2028.00safe10.96–16.6411.25–17.1422.22–33.78safer10.21–17.3910.50–17.8920.71–35.28
Offsides
25%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.263.76safe0.34–2.661.16–3.351.51–6.01safer0.04–2.970.87–3.640.92–6.60
Yellow cards
44%
19%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.462.294.75safe1.41–3.511.16–3.422.57–6.93safer1.14–3.770.87–3.712.02–7.49
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.110.25safe0.00–0.300.00–0.290.00–0.59safer0.00–0.450.00–0.430.00–0.88
GK saves
46%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.082.795.87safe1.65–4.521.24–4.352.88–8.87safer1.26–4.910.81–4.772.07–9.68
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.04 0.08–2.01 0.00–2.26 | 1.57 0.72–2.42 0.49–2.65 | 2.61 0.79–4.44 0.31–4.92 | 25% 25% 50% |
| Shots on target | 3.97 2.11–5.84 1.62–6.33 | 4.57 2.83–6.32 2.37–6.78 | 8.55 4.94–12.15 3.99–13.11 | 35% 14% 51% |
| Total shots | 12.55 8.62–16.47 7.53–17.57 | 13.65 10.09–17.21 9.13–18.17 | 26.20 18.71–33.69 16.66–35.74 | 38% 55% |
| Shots in box | 6.84 3.90–9.79 3.07–10.62 | 8.78 6.10–11.47 5.37–12.20 | 15.63 10.01–21.25 8.44–22.82 | 27% 64% |
| Blocked shots | 3.20 1.32–5.09 0.78–5.63 | 3.49 1.84–5.14 1.34–5.63 | 6.69 3.16–10.23 2.12–11.26 | 38% 16% 46% |
| Corners | 4.91 2.69–7.12 2.12–7.69 | 5.05 3.05–7.05 2.51–7.58 | 9.95 5.74–14.17 4.63–15.28 | 42% 45% |
| Possession % | 51.33 44.54–58.12 42.87–59.79 | 48.94 42.15–55.72 40.48–57.40 | — | 53% 42% |
| Passes | 428 361–495 343–513 | 397 330–463 313–481 | 825 691–958 655–994 | 60% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.74 62.71–70.77 61.42–72.06 | 69.38 65.06–73.70 63.75–75.01 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 13.80 10.96–16.64 10.21–17.39 | 14.20 11.25–17.14 10.50–17.89 | 28.00 22.22–33.78 20.71–35.28 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.97 | 2.26 1.16–3.35 0.87–3.64 | 3.76 1.51–6.01 0.92–6.60 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Yellow cards | 2.46 1.41–3.51 1.14–3.77 | 2.29 1.16–3.42 0.87–3.71 | 4.75 2.57–6.93 2.02–7.49 | 44% 19% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.25 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.08 1.65–4.52 1.26–4.91 | 2.79 1.24–4.35 0.81–4.77 | 5.87 2.88–8.87 2.07–9.68 | 46% 17% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.