Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
23%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.770.982.75safe0.80–2.740.13–1.830.93–4.57safer0.55–2.990.00–2.060.45–5.05
Shots on target
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.153.428.57safe3.29–7.011.67–5.164.96–12.17safer2.80–7.501.21–5.624.01–13.13
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8010.9026.71safe11.88–19.737.34–14.4619.22–34.19safer10.79–20.826.38–15.4217.17–36.24
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction10.706.2416.94safe7.76–13.653.56–8.9211.32–22.57safer6.93–14.482.82–9.669.75–24.13
Blocked shots
63%
13%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.342.927.26safe2.46–6.221.27–4.573.72–10.79safer1.91–6.760.77–5.062.69–11.83
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.043.9710.01safe3.82–8.251.97–5.975.80–14.22safer3.25–8.821.44–6.514.69–15.33
Possession %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction52.3048.21safe45.51–59.0941.42–54.99safer43.84–60.7639.75–56.66
Passes
65%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction463416878safe395–530349–482745–1012safer377–548332–500709–1048
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction67.7869.00safe63.75–71.8164.68–73.33safer62.46–73.1063.37–74.63
Fouls
45%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5613.7827.35safe10.73–16.4010.84–16.7321.57–33.13safer9.97–17.1610.09–17.4820.06–34.63
Offsides
57%
21%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.283.43safe0.99–3.310.19–2.381.18–5.68safer0.68–3.610.00–2.670.59–6.27
Yellow cards
31%
19%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.912.454.36safe0.86–2.961.32–3.582.18–6.54safer0.60–3.231.03–3.871.63–7.10
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.130.19safe0.00–0.220.00–0.320.00–0.54safer0.00–0.370.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.483.546.02safe1.04–3.921.98–5.093.02–9.01safer0.66–4.301.56–5.522.21–9.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 0.80–2.74 0.55–2.99 | 0.98 0.13–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.75 0.93–4.57 0.45–5.05 | 56% 23% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.15 3.29–7.01 2.80–7.50 | 3.42 1.67–5.16 1.21–5.62 | 8.57 4.96–12.17 4.01–13.13 | 66% 22% |
| Total shots | 15.80 11.88–19.73 10.79–20.82 | 10.90 7.34–14.46 6.38–15.42 | 26.71 19.22–34.19 17.17–36.24 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 10.70 7.76–13.65 6.93–14.48 | 6.24 3.56–8.92 2.82–9.66 | 16.94 11.32–22.57 9.75–24.13 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.34 2.46–6.22 1.91–6.76 | 2.92 1.27–4.57 0.77–5.06 | 7.26 3.72–10.79 2.69–11.83 | 63% 13% 24% |
| Corners | 6.04 3.82–8.25 3.25–8.82 | 3.97 1.97–5.97 1.44–6.51 | 10.01 5.80–14.22 4.69–15.33 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 52.30 45.51–59.09 43.84–60.76 | 48.21 41.42–54.99 39.75–56.66 | — | 57% 38% |
| Passes | 463 395–530 377–548 | 416 349–482 332–500 | 878 745–1012 709–1048 | 65% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.78 63.75–71.81 62.46–73.10 | 69.00 64.68–73.33 63.37–74.63 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 13.56 10.73–16.40 9.97–17.16 | 13.78 10.84–16.73 10.09–17.48 | 27.35 21.57–33.13 20.06–34.63 | 45% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.68–3.61 | 1.28 0.19–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 3.43 1.18–5.68 0.59–6.27 | 57% 21% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.96 0.60–3.23 | 2.45 1.32–3.58 1.03–3.87 | 4.36 2.18–6.54 1.63–7.10 | 31% 19% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.04–3.92 0.66–4.30 | 3.54 1.98–5.09 1.56–5.52 | 6.02 3.02–9.01 2.21–9.82 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+