La Liga·Regular Season - 9·
La Liga·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.232.143.38safe0.26–2.201.29–3.001.55–5.20safer0.01–2.451.06–3.231.07–5.68
Shots on target
23%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction4.326.2210.53safe2.45–6.184.47–7.966.93–14.14safer1.96–6.674.01–8.425.97–15.09
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6616.7427.40safe6.74–14.5913.18–20.3019.92–34.89safer5.65–15.6812.22–21.2617.87–36.94
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.1511.7718.92safe4.21–10.099.09–14.4613.30–24.55safer3.38–10.928.36–15.1911.73–26.11
Blocked shots
23%
13%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.894.357.24safe1.01–4.772.70–6.003.71–10.78safer0.46–5.322.21–6.502.67–11.81
Corners
18%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.796.189.98safe1.58–6.014.18–8.185.76–14.19safer1.01–6.583.65–8.724.66–15.30
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction33.9966.69safe27.20–40.7859.91–73.48safer25.53–42.4558.24–75.15
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3646761040safe297–431610–743906–1174safer279–449592–760871–1209
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction65.9583.47safe61.92–69.9879.14–87.79safer60.62–71.2777.83–89.10
Fouls
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2210.4521.67safe8.38–14.067.51–13.3915.89–27.45safer7.63–14.816.76–14.1414.38–28.96
Offsides
51%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.532.976.50safe2.37–4.691.87–4.064.24–8.75safer2.07–4.991.59–4.353.65–9.34
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.983.88safe0.85–2.940.85–3.111.70–6.05safer0.58–3.210.56–3.401.14–6.61
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
64%
13%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.342.857.18safe2.90–5.771.29–4.414.19–10.18safer2.51–6.160.87–4.833.38–10.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 2.14 1.29–3.00 1.06–3.23 | 3.38 1.55–5.20 1.07–5.68 | 21% 20% 58% |
| Shots on target | 4.32 2.45–6.18 1.96–6.67 | 6.22 4.47–7.96 4.01–8.42 | 10.53 6.93–14.14 5.97–15.09 | 23% 67% |
| Total shots | 10.66 6.74–14.59 5.65–15.68 | 16.74 13.18–20.30 12.22–21.26 | 27.40 19.92–34.89 17.87–36.94 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 7.15 4.21–10.09 3.38–10.92 | 11.77 9.09–14.46 8.36–15.19 | 18.92 13.30–24.55 11.73–26.11 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 2.89 1.01–4.77 0.46–5.32 | 4.35 2.70–6.00 2.21–6.50 | 7.24 3.71–10.78 2.67–11.81 | 23% 13% 64% |
| Corners | 3.79 1.58–6.01 1.01–6.58 | 6.18 4.18–8.18 3.65–8.72 | 9.98 5.76–14.19 4.66–15.30 | 18% 73% |
| Possession % | 33.99 27.20–40.78 25.53–42.45 | 66.69 59.91–73.48 58.24–75.15 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 364 297–431 279–449 | 676 610–743 592–760 | 1040 906–1174 871–1209 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.95 61.92–69.98 60.62–71.27 | 83.47 79.14–87.79 77.83–89.10 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 11.22 8.38–14.06 7.63–14.81 | 10.45 7.51–13.39 6.76–14.14 | 21.67 15.89–27.45 14.38–28.96 | 52% 39% |
| Offsides | 3.53 2.37–4.69 2.07–4.99 | 2.97 1.87–4.06 1.59–4.35 | 6.50 4.24–8.75 3.65–9.34 | 51% 16% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.85–2.94 0.58–3.21 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.88 1.70–6.05 1.14–6.61 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 4.34 2.90–5.77 2.51–6.16 | 2.85 1.29–4.41 0.87–4.83 | 7.18 4.19–10.18 3.38–10.99 | 64% 13% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.