La Liga·Regular Season - 27·
La Liga·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.951.023.98safe1.99–3.920.17–1.882.15–5.80safer1.73–4.170.00–2.111.68–6.28
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.703.5011.20safe5.83–9.561.76–5.247.59–14.80safer5.35–10.051.29–5.716.64–15.76
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.018.7328.75safe16.09–23.945.17–12.3021.26–36.23safer15.00–25.034.21–13.2619.21–38.28
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction14.055.8019.85safe11.10–16.993.12–8.4814.23–25.47safer10.28–17.822.39–9.2212.66–27.04
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction4.751.996.73safe2.87–6.630.33–3.643.20–10.27safer2.32–7.170.00–4.132.16–11.30
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.402.9610.37safe5.19–9.620.96–4.966.15–14.58safer4.62–10.190.43–5.505.05–15.69
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.4333.82safe59.64–73.2227.03–40.60safer57.97–74.8925.36–42.27
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7063681075safe639–774302–435941–1208safer621–792284–452905–1244
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction81.0170.14safe76.98–85.0465.81–74.46safer75.68–86.3364.50–75.77
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8210.7420.56safe6.98–12.667.80–13.6914.78–26.34safer6.22–13.417.05–14.4413.28–27.85
Offsides
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.313.166.47safe2.15–4.472.07–4.254.21–8.72safer1.85–4.771.78–4.543.62–9.31
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.843.38safe0.50–2.600.71–2.971.20–5.56safer0.23–2.860.42–3.260.65–6.12
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.355.067.40safe0.91–3.783.50–6.624.41–10.40safer0.52–4.173.08–7.043.60–11.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.95 1.99–3.92 1.73–4.17 | 1.02 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 3.98 2.15–5.80 1.68–6.28 | 76% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.70 5.83–9.56 5.35–10.05 | 3.50 1.76–5.24 1.29–5.71 | 11.20 7.59–14.80 6.64–15.76 | 87% |
| Total shots | 20.01 16.09–23.94 15.00–25.03 | 8.73 5.17–12.30 4.21–13.26 | 28.75 21.26–36.23 19.21–38.28 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 14.05 11.10–16.99 10.28–17.82 | 5.80 3.12–8.48 2.39–9.22 | 19.85 14.23–25.47 12.66–27.04 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 4.75 2.87–6.63 2.32–7.17 | 1.99 0.33–3.64 0.00–4.13 | 6.73 3.20–10.27 2.16–11.30 | 81% |
| Corners | 7.40 5.19–9.62 4.62–10.19 | 2.96 0.96–4.96 0.43–5.50 | 10.37 6.15–14.58 5.05–15.69 | 89% |
| Possession % | 66.43 59.64–73.22 57.97–74.89 | 33.82 27.03–40.60 25.36–42.27 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 706 639–774 621–792 | 368 302–435 284–452 | 1075 941–1208 905–1244 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.01 76.98–85.04 75.68–86.33 | 70.14 65.81–74.46 64.50–75.77 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 9.82 6.98–12.66 6.22–13.41 | 10.74 7.80–13.69 7.05–14.44 | 20.56 14.78–26.34 13.28–27.85 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 3.31 2.15–4.47 1.85–4.77 | 3.16 2.07–4.25 1.78–4.54 | 6.47 4.21–8.72 3.62–9.31 | 44% 16% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.23–2.86 | 1.84 0.71–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.38 1.20–5.56 0.65–6.12 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.35 0.91–3.78 0.52–4.17 | 5.06 3.50–6.62 3.08–7.04 | 7.40 4.41–10.40 3.60–11.21 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.