La Liga·Regular Season - 9·
La Liga·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
25%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.002.58safe0.61–2.550.14–1.850.76–4.40safer0.36–2.800.00–2.080.28–4.88
Shots on target
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.023.948.95safe3.15–6.882.20–5.685.35–12.56safer2.66–7.371.73–6.154.39–13.51
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9211.6325.55safe10.00–17.858.06–15.1918.06–33.04safer8.91–18.947.10–16.1516.01–35.09
Shots in box
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction9.697.4117.10safe6.75–12.644.73–10.0911.48–22.72safer5.92–13.463.99–10.829.91–24.29
Blocked shots
58%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.762.746.51safe1.88–5.651.09–4.402.97–10.04safer1.34–6.190.60–4.891.94–11.08
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.014.1810.20safe3.80–8.232.18–6.185.99–14.41safer3.23–8.801.65–6.724.88–15.52
Possession %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction56.5743.78safe49.78–63.3636.99–50.56safer48.11–65.0335.32–52.23
Passes
83%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction535419954safe468–602352–485820–1087safer450–620335–503784–1123
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction73.0571.24safe69.02–77.0866.91–75.56safer67.73–78.3865.60–76.87
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5911.9823.57safe8.75–14.439.04–14.9317.79–29.36safer8.00–15.188.29–15.6816.29–30.86
Offsides
53%
21%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.141.483.62safe0.98–3.300.38–2.571.36–5.87safer0.68–3.600.10–2.860.77–6.46
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.093.99safe0.86–2.950.96–3.221.82–6.17safer0.59–3.220.67–3.511.26–6.73
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
31%
15%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.893.656.54safe1.45–4.332.09–5.203.55–9.53safer1.07–4.711.67–5.632.73–10.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.58 0.61–2.55 0.36–2.80 | 1.00 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 2.58 0.76–4.40 0.28–4.88 | 51% 25% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.02 3.15–6.88 2.66–7.37 | 3.94 2.20–5.68 1.73–6.15 | 8.95 5.35–12.56 4.39–13.51 | 58% 30% |
| Total shots | 13.92 10.00–17.85 8.91–18.94 | 11.63 8.06–15.19 7.10–16.15 | 25.55 18.06–33.04 16.01–35.09 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 9.69 6.75–12.64 5.92–13.46 | 7.41 4.73–10.09 3.99–10.82 | 17.10 11.48–22.72 9.91–24.29 | 67% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 3.76 1.88–5.65 1.34–6.19 | 2.74 1.09–4.40 0.60–4.89 | 6.51 2.97–10.04 1.94–11.08 | 58% 15% 27% |
| Corners | 6.01 3.80–8.23 3.23–8.80 | 4.18 2.18–6.18 1.65–6.72 | 10.20 5.99–14.41 4.88–15.52 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 56.57 49.78–63.36 48.11–65.03 | 43.78 36.99–50.56 35.32–52.23 | — | 76% 21% |
| Passes | 535 468–602 450–620 | 419 352–485 335–503 | 954 820–1087 784–1123 | 83% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.05 69.02–77.08 67.73–78.38 | 71.24 66.91–75.56 65.60–76.87 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 11.59 8.75–14.43 8.00–15.18 | 11.98 9.04–14.93 8.29–15.68 | 23.57 17.79–29.36 16.29–30.86 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.14 0.98–3.30 0.68–3.60 | 1.48 0.38–2.57 0.10–2.86 | 3.62 1.36–5.87 0.77–6.46 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.86–2.95 0.59–3.22 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.99 1.82–6.17 1.26–6.73 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.89 1.45–4.33 1.07–4.71 | 3.65 2.09–5.20 1.67–5.63 | 6.54 3.55–9.53 2.73–10.34 | 31% 15% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.