La Liga·Regular Season - 9·
La Liga·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
23%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction0.891.742.63safe0.00–1.860.89–2.600.81–4.45safer0.00–2.110.66–2.820.33–4.93
Shots on target
23%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.354.938.29safe1.49–5.223.19–6.674.68–11.89safer1.00–5.712.72–7.143.73–12.85
Total shots
24%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4914.6026.09safe7.56–15.4111.04–18.1618.60–33.58safer6.47–16.5010.08–19.1216.55–35.63
Shots in box
23%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction6.869.3816.24safe3.92–9.806.70–12.0610.62–21.87safer3.09–10.635.96–12.809.05–23.43
Blocked shots
28%
14%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.144.227.36safe1.26–5.022.56–5.873.82–10.89safer0.72–5.572.07–6.362.79–11.93
Corners
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.265.039.28safe2.04–6.473.03–7.035.07–13.50safer1.47–7.042.49–7.563.96–14.60
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.6558.64safe35.86–49.4451.86–65.43safer34.19–51.1150.19–67.10
Passes
15%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction388512900safe320–455446–578766–1033safer302–473428–596730–1069
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction63.3776.28safe59.34–67.4071.96–80.61safer58.05–68.6970.65–81.91
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5512.1324.68safe9.71–15.399.19–15.0818.90–30.47safer8.96–16.158.44–15.8317.40–31.97
Offsides
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.633.35safe0.56–2.880.54–2.731.10–5.61safer0.26–3.180.25–3.010.51–6.20
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.042.184.22safe0.99–3.091.06–3.312.05–6.40safer0.72–3.350.76–3.611.49–6.96
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
53%
16%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.322.645.96safe1.89–4.761.08–4.192.97–8.95safer1.50–5.150.66–4.622.16–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.89 0.00–1.86 0.00–2.11 | 1.74 0.89–2.60 0.66–2.82 | 2.63 0.81–4.45 0.33–4.93 | 19% 23% 58% |
| Shots on target | 3.35 1.49–5.22 1.00–5.71 | 4.93 3.19–6.67 2.72–7.14 | 8.29 4.68–11.89 3.73–12.85 | 23% 64% |
| Total shots | 11.49 7.56–15.41 6.47–16.50 | 14.60 11.04–18.16 10.08–19.12 | 26.09 18.60–33.58 16.55–35.63 | 24% 70% |
| Shots in box | 6.86 3.92–9.80 3.09–10.63 | 9.38 6.70–12.06 5.96–12.80 | 16.24 10.62–21.87 9.05–23.43 | 23% 69% |
| Blocked shots | 3.14 1.26–5.02 0.72–5.57 | 4.22 2.56–5.87 2.07–6.36 | 7.36 3.82–10.89 2.79–11.93 | 28% 14% 58% |
| Corners | 4.26 2.04–6.47 1.47–7.04 | 5.03 3.03–7.03 2.49–7.56 | 9.28 5.07–13.50 3.96–14.60 | 34% 53% |
| Possession % | 42.65 35.86–49.44 34.19–51.11 | 58.64 51.86–65.43 50.19–67.10 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 388 320–455 302–473 | 512 446–578 428–596 | 900 766–1033 730–1069 | 15% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.37 59.34–67.40 58.05–68.69 | 76.28 71.96–80.61 70.65–81.91 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 12.55 9.71–15.39 8.96–16.15 | 12.13 9.19–15.08 8.44–15.83 | 24.68 18.90–30.47 17.40–31.97 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 1.63 0.54–2.73 0.25–3.01 | 3.35 1.10–5.61 0.51–6.20 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 2.04 0.99–3.09 0.72–3.35 | 2.18 1.06–3.31 0.76–3.61 | 4.22 2.05–6.40 1.49–6.96 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.32 1.89–4.76 1.50–5.15 | 2.64 1.08–4.19 0.66–4.62 | 5.96 2.97–8.95 2.16–9.76 | 53% 16% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.