La Liga·Regular Season - 22·
La Liga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
20%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.040.892.94safe1.07–3.010.04–1.751.11–4.76safer0.82–3.260.00–1.980.63–5.24
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.332.749.08safe4.47–8.191.00–4.495.47–12.68safer3.98–8.680.54–4.954.52–13.64
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction17.138.9626.09safe13.20–21.055.40–12.5218.60–33.58safer12.11–22.144.44–13.4816.55–35.63
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.815.7317.54safe8.86–14.753.05–8.4111.92–23.16safer8.03–15.582.32–9.1510.35–24.73
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.062.107.16safe3.17–6.940.45–3.753.62–10.69safer2.63–7.480.00–4.252.59–11.73
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.423.249.67safe4.21–8.641.24–5.245.45–13.88safer3.64–9.210.71–5.784.35–14.99
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.8438.60safe55.05–68.6331.81–45.38safer53.38–70.3030.14–47.05
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction567341908safe500–634275–408774–1042safer482–652257–425739–1077
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction76.3367.60safe72.30–80.3663.28–71.93safer71.00–81.6561.97–73.24
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2912.8724.16safe8.45–14.139.93–15.8218.38–29.95safer7.70–14.889.18–16.5716.88–31.45
Offsides
39%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.563.14safe0.42–2.740.46–2.650.88–5.39safer0.12–3.040.18–2.940.29–5.98
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.622.103.71safe0.57–2.670.97–3.231.54–5.89safer0.30–2.930.68–3.520.98–6.45
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction1.974.116.09safe0.54–3.412.56–5.673.09–9.08safer0.15–3.802.13–6.092.28–9.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.04 1.07–3.01 0.82–3.26 | 0.89 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 2.94 1.11–4.76 0.63–5.24 | 64% 20% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.33 4.47–8.19 3.98–8.68 | 2.74 1.00–4.49 0.54–4.95 | 9.08 5.47–12.68 4.52–13.64 | 85% |
| Total shots | 17.13 13.20–21.05 12.11–22.14 | 8.96 5.40–12.52 4.44–13.48 | 26.09 18.60–33.58 16.55–35.63 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.81 8.86–14.75 8.03–15.58 | 5.73 3.05–8.41 2.32–9.15 | 17.54 11.92–23.16 10.35–24.73 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 5.06 3.17–6.94 2.63–7.48 | 2.10 0.45–3.75 0.00–4.25 | 7.16 3.62–10.69 2.59–11.73 | 82% |
| Corners | 6.42 4.21–8.64 3.64–9.21 | 3.24 1.24–5.24 0.71–5.78 | 9.67 5.45–13.88 4.35–14.99 | 81% |
| Possession % | 61.84 55.05–68.63 53.38–70.30 | 38.60 31.81–45.38 30.14–47.05 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 567 500–634 482–652 | 341 275–408 257–425 | 908 774–1042 739–1077 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.33 72.30–80.36 71.00–81.65 | 67.60 63.28–71.93 61.97–73.24 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.29 8.45–14.13 7.70–14.88 | 12.87 9.93–15.82 9.18–16.57 | 24.16 18.38–29.95 16.88–31.45 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 1.56 0.46–2.65 0.18–2.94 | 3.14 0.88–5.39 0.29–5.98 | 39% 24% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.30–2.93 | 2.10 0.97–3.23 0.68–3.52 | 3.71 1.54–5.89 0.98–6.45 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.97 0.54–3.41 0.15–3.80 | 4.11 2.56–5.67 2.13–6.09 | 6.09 3.09–9.08 2.28–9.89 | 14% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.