La Liga·Regular Season - 9·
La Liga·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
28%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.132.32safe0.22–2.150.28–1.990.49–4.14safer0.00–2.400.05–2.220.01–4.62
Shots on target
42%
13%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.444.569.00safe2.58–6.302.81–6.305.39–12.60safer2.09–6.792.35–6.764.44–13.56
Total shots
54%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6113.6028.21safe10.68–18.5310.04–17.1720.72–35.70safer9.59–19.629.08–18.1218.67–37.75
Shots in box
46%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction8.618.4717.08safe5.67–11.555.79–11.1511.46–22.70safer4.84–12.385.05–11.899.89–24.27
Blocked shots
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.074.008.08safe2.19–5.962.35–5.664.54–11.61safer1.65–6.501.86–6.153.51–12.65
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.415.1810.58safe3.19–7.623.17–7.186.37–14.80safer2.62–8.202.64–7.715.26–15.90
Possession %
21%
76%
homeawayprediction43.5056.21safe36.71–50.2949.42–62.99safer35.04–51.9647.75–64.66
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction349470819safe282–416403–536685–953safer264–435386–554650–988
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction61.2671.01safe57.23–65.2966.68–75.33safer55.94–66.5865.37–76.64
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1813.6425.82safe9.34–15.0210.70–16.5920.04–31.60safer8.58–15.779.95–17.3318.53–33.11
Offsides
47%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.473.32safe0.69–3.020.37–2.561.07–5.58safer0.39–3.320.09–2.850.48–6.17
Yellow cards
36%
19%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.182.464.64safe1.13–3.231.33–3.592.46–6.82safer0.86–3.501.04–3.881.90–7.37
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.120.25safe0.00–0.290.00–0.310.00–0.60safer0.00–0.440.00–0.440.00–0.88
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.053.016.06safe1.61–4.491.45–4.573.07–9.05safer1.23–4.871.03–4.992.25–9.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.22–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 1.13 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 2.32 0.49–4.14 0.01–4.62 | 37% 28% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.44 2.58–6.30 2.09–6.79 | 4.56 2.81–6.30 2.35–6.76 | 9.00 5.39–12.60 4.44–13.56 | 42% 13% 45% |
| Total shots | 14.61 10.68–18.53 9.59–19.62 | 13.60 10.04–17.17 9.08–18.12 | 28.21 20.72–35.70 18.67–37.75 | 54% 39% |
| Shots in box | 8.61 5.67–11.55 4.84–12.38 | 8.47 5.79–11.15 5.05–11.89 | 17.08 11.46–22.70 9.89–24.27 | 46% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 4.07 2.19–5.96 1.65–6.50 | 4.00 2.35–5.66 1.86–6.15 | 8.08 4.54–11.61 3.51–12.65 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Corners | 5.41 3.19–7.62 2.62–8.20 | 5.18 3.17–7.18 2.64–7.71 | 10.58 6.37–14.80 5.26–15.90 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 43.50 36.71–50.29 35.04–51.96 | 56.21 49.42–62.99 47.75–64.66 | — | 21% 76% |
| Passes | 349 282–416 264–435 | 470 403–536 386–554 | 819 685–953 650–988 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.26 57.23–65.29 55.94–66.58 | 71.01 66.68–75.33 65.37–76.64 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 12.18 9.34–15.02 8.58–15.77 | 13.64 10.70–16.59 9.95–17.33 | 25.82 20.04–31.60 18.53–33.11 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.69–3.02 0.39–3.32 | 1.47 0.37–2.56 0.09–2.85 | 3.32 1.07–5.58 0.48–6.17 | 47% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 2.18 1.13–3.23 0.86–3.50 | 2.46 1.33–3.59 1.04–3.88 | 4.64 2.46–6.82 1.90–7.37 | 36% 19% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.05 1.61–4.49 1.23–4.87 | 3.01 1.45–4.57 1.03–4.99 | 6.06 3.07–9.05 2.25–9.86 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.