La Liga·Regular Season - 9·
La Liga·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
23%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.071.832.89safe0.10–2.030.97–2.681.07–4.71safer0.00–2.290.74–2.910.59–5.19
Shots on target
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.315.169.47safe2.44–6.173.42–6.905.86–13.07safer1.95–6.662.95–7.374.91–14.03
Total shots
41%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6114.3227.94safe9.69–17.5410.76–17.8920.45–35.42safer8.60–18.639.80–18.8418.40–37.47
Shots in box
34%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction8.249.4217.66safe5.30–11.186.74–12.1012.03–23.28safer4.47–12.016.00–12.8410.47–24.85
Blocked shots
31%
14%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.334.187.51safe1.45–5.222.53–5.833.98–11.05safer0.91–5.762.04–6.332.94–12.08
Corners
46%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.285.1310.41safe3.07–7.503.13–7.136.20–14.63safer2.50–8.072.60–7.665.09–15.74
Possession %
42%
54%
homeawayprediction49.1951.75safe42.40–55.9844.96–58.53safer40.73–57.6543.29–60.20
Passes
55%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction457441898safe390–524375–508764–1032safer371–542357–525729–1067
Pass accuracy %
21%
76%
homeawayprediction64.9770.84safe60.94–69.0066.52–75.16safer59.65–70.2965.21–76.47
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5511.7624.31safe9.71–15.388.82–14.7118.53–30.09safer8.95–16.148.07–15.4517.02–31.59
Offsides
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.882.023.91safe0.72–3.040.93–3.121.65–6.16safer0.42–3.340.64–3.401.06–6.75
Yellow cards
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.201.954.15safe1.15–3.250.82–3.081.98–6.33safer0.88–3.520.53–3.371.42–6.89
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.523.256.77safe2.08–4.951.70–4.813.77–9.76safer1.69–5.341.27–5.232.96–10.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.10–2.03 0.00–2.29 | 1.83 0.97–2.68 0.74–2.91 | 2.89 1.07–4.71 0.59–5.19 | 22% 23% 55% |
| Shots on target | 4.31 2.44–6.17 1.95–6.66 | 5.16 3.42–6.90 2.95–7.37 | 9.47 5.86–13.07 4.91–14.03 | 33% 54% |
| Total shots | 13.61 9.69–17.54 8.60–18.63 | 14.32 10.76–17.89 9.80–18.84 | 27.94 20.45–35.42 18.40–37.47 | 41% 52% |
| Shots in box | 8.24 5.30–11.18 4.47–12.01 | 9.42 6.74–12.10 6.00–12.84 | 17.66 12.03–23.28 10.47–24.85 | 34% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.33 1.45–5.22 0.91–5.76 | 4.18 2.53–5.83 2.04–6.33 | 7.51 3.98–11.05 2.94–12.08 | 31% 14% 55% |
| Corners | 5.28 3.07–7.50 2.50–8.07 | 5.13 3.13–7.13 2.60–7.66 | 10.41 6.20–14.63 5.09–15.74 | 46% 42% |
| Possession % | 49.19 42.40–55.98 40.73–57.65 | 51.75 44.96–58.53 43.29–60.20 | — | 42% 54% |
| Passes | 457 390–524 371–542 | 441 375–508 357–525 | 898 764–1032 729–1067 | 55% 45% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.97 60.94–69.00 59.65–70.29 | 70.84 66.52–75.16 65.21–76.47 | — | 21% 76% |
| Fouls | 12.55 9.71–15.38 8.95–16.14 | 11.76 8.82–14.71 8.07–15.45 | 24.31 18.53–30.09 17.02–31.59 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 2.02 0.93–3.12 0.64–3.40 | 3.91 1.65–6.16 1.06–6.75 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 2.20 1.15–3.25 0.88–3.52 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 4.15 1.98–6.33 1.42–6.89 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.52 2.08–4.95 1.69–5.34 | 3.25 1.70–4.81 1.27–5.23 | 6.77 3.77–9.76 2.96–10.57 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.