La Liga·Regular Season - 21·
La Liga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
21%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.093.08safe1.03–2.960.23–1.941.26–4.91safer0.78–3.220.00–2.170.78–5.39
Shots on target
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.103.619.71safe4.24–7.971.87–5.356.11–13.32safer3.75–8.451.40–5.825.15–14.27
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5310.5127.05safe12.61–20.466.95–14.0819.56–34.53safer11.52–21.555.99–15.0417.51–36.58
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction10.666.9017.56safe7.71–13.604.22–9.5811.94–23.18safer6.88–14.433.49–10.3210.37–24.75
Blocked shots
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.652.937.58safe2.77–6.531.28–4.584.05–11.12safer2.22–7.080.79–5.083.01–12.15
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.254.2810.53safe4.04–8.462.28–6.286.31–14.74safer3.46–9.041.74–6.815.21–15.85
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.4045.58safe48.61–62.1938.80–52.37safer46.94–63.8637.13–54.04
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction518425942safe451–585358–491809–1076safer432–603341–509773–1112
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction66.2768.09safe62.25–70.3063.77–72.42safer60.95–71.6062.46–73.73
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0812.4323.51safe8.24–13.929.49–15.3817.73–29.30safer7.49–14.678.74–16.1316.23–30.80
Offsides
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.813.75safe0.77–3.090.72–2.901.49–6.00safer0.47–3.400.43–3.190.90–6.59
Yellow cards
27%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.522.173.69safe0.47–2.571.04–3.301.51–5.87safer0.20–2.840.75–3.590.96–6.43
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.130.19safe0.00–0.210.00–0.320.00–0.53safer0.00–0.360.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.564.006.56safe1.12–4.002.44–5.553.57–9.55safer0.74–4.382.02–5.982.75–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.00 1.03–2.96 0.78–3.22 | 1.09 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.17 | 3.08 1.26–4.91 0.78–5.39 | 58% 21% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.10 4.24–7.97 3.75–8.45 | 3.61 1.87–5.35 1.40–5.82 | 9.71 6.11–13.32 5.15–14.27 | 74% 17% |
| Total shots | 16.53 12.61–20.46 11.52–21.55 | 10.51 6.95–14.08 5.99–15.04 | 27.05 19.56–34.53 17.51–36.58 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 10.66 7.71–13.60 6.88–14.43 | 6.90 4.22–9.58 3.49–10.32 | 17.56 11.94–23.18 10.37–24.75 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.65 2.77–6.53 2.22–7.08 | 2.93 1.28–4.58 0.79–5.08 | 7.58 4.05–11.12 3.01–12.15 | 67% 21% |
| Corners | 6.25 4.04–8.46 3.46–9.04 | 4.28 2.28–6.28 1.74–6.81 | 10.53 6.31–14.74 5.21–15.85 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 55.40 48.61–62.19 46.94–63.86 | 45.58 38.80–52.37 37.13–54.04 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 518 451–585 432–603 | 425 358–491 341–509 | 942 809–1076 773–1112 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.27 62.25–70.30 60.95–71.60 | 68.09 63.77–72.42 62.46–73.73 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 11.08 8.24–13.92 7.49–14.67 | 12.43 9.49–15.38 8.74–16.13 | 23.51 17.73–29.30 16.23–30.80 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.93 0.77–3.09 0.47–3.40 | 1.81 0.72–2.90 0.43–3.19 | 3.75 1.49–6.00 0.90–6.59 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.20–2.84 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 3.69 1.51–5.87 0.96–6.43 | 27% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.12–4.00 0.74–4.38 | 4.00 2.44–5.55 2.02–5.98 | 6.56 3.57–9.55 2.75–10.36 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+