La Liga·Regular Season - 9·
La Liga·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.500.853.35safe1.53–3.470.00–1.701.53–5.17safer1.28–3.720.00–1.931.05–5.65
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.883.109.98safe5.01–8.741.36–4.856.38–13.59safer4.52–9.230.90–5.315.42–14.54
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction17.739.8127.54safe13.80–21.656.25–13.3820.06–35.03safer12.71–22.755.29–14.3418.01–37.08
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction12.546.0118.55safe9.59–15.483.33–8.6912.92–24.17safer8.76–16.312.59–9.4311.36–25.74
Blocked shots
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.352.366.71safe2.47–6.230.71–4.023.17–10.25safer1.92–6.770.22–4.512.14–11.28
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.923.4210.34safe4.70–9.131.42–5.426.13–14.55safer4.13–9.700.89–5.965.02–15.66
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.2837.91safe55.49–69.0731.12–44.69safer53.82–70.7429.45–46.36
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction597341938safe530–664274–407804–1071safer512–682257–425768–1107
Pass accuracy %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction74.9768.75safe70.94–79.0064.43–73.08safer69.65–80.2963.12–74.38
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5613.3424.90safe8.72–14.4010.39–16.2819.12–30.68safer7.97–15.169.64–17.0317.61–32.19
Offsides
47%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.703.79safe0.94–3.260.60–2.791.54–6.05safer0.64–3.560.31–3.080.95–6.64
Yellow cards
24%
19%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.552.413.96safe0.51–2.601.28–3.541.79–6.14safer0.24–2.870.99–3.831.23–6.70
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.130.19safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.370.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.444.296.73safe1.00–3.872.74–5.853.74–9.72safer0.61–4.262.31–6.272.93–10.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.50 1.53–3.47 1.28–3.72 | 0.85 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.93 | 3.35 1.53–5.17 1.05–5.65 | 73% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.88 5.01–8.74 4.52–9.23 | 3.10 1.36–4.85 0.90–5.31 | 9.98 6.38–13.59 5.42–14.54 | 85% |
| Total shots | 17.73 13.80–21.65 12.71–22.75 | 9.81 6.25–13.38 5.29–14.34 | 27.54 20.06–35.03 18.01–37.08 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 12.54 9.59–15.48 8.76–16.31 | 6.01 3.33–8.69 2.59–9.43 | 18.55 12.92–24.17 11.36–25.74 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 4.35 2.47–6.23 1.92–6.77 | 2.36 0.71–4.02 0.22–4.51 | 6.71 3.17–10.25 2.14–11.28 | 72% 16% |
| Corners | 6.92 4.70–9.13 4.13–9.70 | 3.42 1.42–5.42 0.89–5.96 | 10.34 6.13–14.55 5.02–15.66 | 83% |
| Possession % | 62.28 55.49–69.07 53.82–70.74 | 37.91 31.12–44.69 29.45–46.36 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 597 530–664 512–682 | 341 274–407 257–425 | 938 804–1071 768–1107 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.97 70.94–79.00 69.65–80.29 | 68.75 64.43–73.08 63.12–74.38 | — | 77% 19% |
| Fouls | 11.56 8.72–14.40 7.97–15.16 | 13.34 10.39–16.28 9.64–17.03 | 24.90 19.12–30.68 17.61–32.19 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.64–3.56 | 1.70 0.60–2.79 0.31–3.08 | 3.79 1.54–6.05 0.95–6.64 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.51–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 2.41 1.28–3.54 0.99–3.83 | 3.96 1.79–6.14 1.23–6.70 | 24% 19% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 4.29 2.74–5.85 2.31–6.27 | 6.73 3.74–9.72 2.93–10.54 | 18% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+