La Liga·Regular Season - 25·
La Liga·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
19%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction0.872.133.00safe0.00–1.841.28–2.991.18–4.83safer0.00–2.091.05–3.220.70–5.31
Shots on target
21%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.575.529.09safe1.70–5.433.78–7.275.49–12.70safer1.22–5.923.32–7.734.53–13.65
Total shots
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7414.3427.08safe8.81–16.6610.78–17.9019.59–34.56safer7.72–17.759.82–18.8617.54–36.61
Shots in box
20%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction6.839.8216.65safe3.89–9.787.14–12.5011.03–22.27safer3.06–10.616.40–13.239.46–23.84
Blocked shots
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.394.317.70safe1.51–5.282.66–5.964.17–11.24safer0.97–5.822.16–6.463.13–12.27
Corners
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.365.419.76safe2.14–6.573.41–7.415.55–13.98safer1.57–7.152.87–7.944.44–15.09
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction39.1060.95safe32.31–45.8954.17–67.74safer30.64–47.5652.50–69.41
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction364560924safe297–431493–626790–1057safer279–449476–644754–1093
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction64.4475.12safe60.41–68.4770.80–79.45safer59.12–69.7669.49–80.76
Fouls
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6711.8825.55safe10.83–16.518.94–14.8319.77–31.33safer10.07–17.268.19–15.5818.26–32.84
Offsides
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.083.78safe0.54–2.870.98–3.171.53–6.04safer0.24–3.170.70–3.460.94–6.63
Yellow cards
43%
20%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.202.064.26safe1.15–3.250.93–3.192.08–6.44safer0.88–3.520.64–3.481.53–7.00
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.100.25safe0.00–0.310.00–0.280.00–0.59safer0.00–0.460.00–0.420.00–0.88
GK saves
53%
16%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.402.716.11safe1.96–4.831.16–4.273.12–9.10safer1.57–5.220.73–4.702.31–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.87 0.00–1.84 0.00–2.09 | 2.13 1.28–2.99 1.05–3.22 | 3.00 1.18–4.83 0.70–5.31 | 14% 19% 66% |
| Shots on target | 3.57 1.70–5.43 1.22–5.92 | 5.52 3.78–7.27 3.32–7.73 | 9.09 5.49–12.70 4.53–13.65 | 21% 69% |
| Total shots | 12.74 8.81–16.66 7.72–17.75 | 14.34 10.78–17.90 9.82–18.86 | 27.08 19.59–34.56 17.54–36.61 | 34% 58% |
| Shots in box | 6.83 3.89–9.78 3.06–10.61 | 9.82 7.14–12.50 6.40–13.23 | 16.65 11.03–22.27 9.46–23.84 | 20% 73% |
| Blocked shots | 3.39 1.51–5.28 0.97–5.82 | 4.31 2.66–5.96 2.16–6.46 | 7.70 4.17–11.24 3.13–12.27 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.36 2.14–6.57 1.57–7.15 | 5.41 3.41–7.41 2.87–7.94 | 9.76 5.55–13.98 4.44–15.09 | 31% 57% |
| Possession % | 39.10 32.31–45.89 30.64–47.56 | 60.95 54.17–67.74 52.50–69.41 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 364 297–431 279–449 | 560 493–626 476–644 | 924 790–1057 754–1093 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.44 60.41–68.47 59.12–69.76 | 75.12 70.80–79.45 69.49–80.76 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 13.67 10.83–16.51 10.07–17.26 | 11.88 8.94–14.83 8.19–15.58 | 25.55 19.77–31.33 18.26–32.84 | 60% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.54–2.87 0.24–3.17 | 2.08 0.98–3.17 0.70–3.46 | 3.78 1.53–6.04 0.94–6.63 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 2.20 1.15–3.25 0.88–3.52 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 4.26 2.08–6.44 1.53–7.00 | 43% 20% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.25 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.40 1.96–4.83 1.57–5.22 | 2.71 1.16–4.27 0.73–4.70 | 6.11 3.12–9.10 2.31–9.92 | 53% 16% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+