La Liga·Regular Season - 9·
La Liga·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
20%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.110.993.10safe1.14–3.080.13–1.841.27–4.92safer0.89–3.330.00–2.070.79–5.40
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.143.459.59safe4.28–8.001.71–5.195.99–13.20safer3.79–8.491.24–5.665.03–14.15
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction16.8810.1827.06safe12.96–20.816.62–13.7419.58–34.55safer11.87–21.905.66–14.7017.53–36.60
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction11.716.5818.30safe8.77–14.663.90–9.2612.67–23.92safer7.94–15.483.16–10.0011.11–25.49
Blocked shots
64%
13%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.342.847.18safe2.45–6.221.19–4.503.65–10.72safer1.91–6.760.70–4.992.61–11.75
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.483.6810.16safe4.26–8.691.68–5.685.95–14.37safer3.69–9.261.15–6.224.84–15.48
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.3045.21safe47.51–61.0938.42–51.99safer45.84–62.7636.75–53.66
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction517417935safe450–584351–484801–1068safer432–602333–501765–1104
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction72.9670.98safe68.93–76.9966.66–75.31safer67.64–78.2865.35–76.62
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7013.6827.38safe10.86–16.5410.74–16.6321.60–33.16safer10.11–17.299.99–17.3720.09–34.67
Offsides
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.471.384.85safe2.31–4.630.29–2.472.60–7.10safer2.01–4.930.00–2.762.01–7.69
Yellow cards
38%
19%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.302.444.73safe1.25–3.341.31–3.572.56–6.91safer0.98–3.611.02–3.862.00–7.47
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.140.25safe0.00–0.270.00–0.330.00–0.60safer0.00–0.420.00–0.460.00–0.88
GK saves
20%
13%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.333.936.25safe0.89–3.762.37–5.493.26–9.25safer0.50–4.151.95–5.912.45–10.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.11 1.14–3.08 0.89–3.33 | 0.99 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 3.10 1.27–4.92 0.79–5.40 | 63% 20% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.14 4.28–8.00 3.79–8.49 | 3.45 1.71–5.19 1.24–5.66 | 9.59 5.99–13.20 5.03–14.15 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 16.88 12.96–20.81 11.87–21.90 | 10.18 6.62–13.74 5.66–14.70 | 27.06 19.58–34.55 17.53–36.60 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 11.71 8.77–14.66 7.94–15.48 | 6.58 3.90–9.26 3.16–10.00 | 18.30 12.67–23.92 11.11–25.49 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 4.34 2.45–6.22 1.91–6.76 | 2.84 1.19–4.50 0.70–4.99 | 7.18 3.65–10.72 2.61–11.75 | 64% 13% 23% |
| Corners | 6.48 4.26–8.69 3.69–9.26 | 3.68 1.68–5.68 1.15–6.22 | 10.16 5.95–14.37 4.84–15.48 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 54.30 47.51–61.09 45.84–62.76 | 45.21 38.42–51.99 36.75–53.66 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 517 450–584 432–602 | 417 351–484 333–501 | 935 801–1068 765–1104 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.96 68.93–76.99 67.64–78.28 | 70.98 66.66–75.31 65.35–76.62 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 13.70 10.86–16.54 10.11–17.29 | 13.68 10.74–16.63 9.99–17.37 | 27.38 21.60–33.16 20.09–34.67 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 3.47 2.31–4.63 2.01–4.93 | 1.38 0.29–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 4.85 2.60–7.10 2.01–7.69 | 77% |
| Yellow cards | 2.30 1.25–3.34 0.98–3.61 | 2.44 1.31–3.57 1.02–3.86 | 4.73 2.56–6.91 2.00–7.47 | 38% 19% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.33 0.89–3.76 0.50–4.15 | 3.93 2.37–5.49 1.95–5.91 | 6.25 3.26–9.25 2.45–10.06 | 20% 13% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+