Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
26%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.530.892.43safe0.57–2.500.04–1.750.60–4.25safer0.31–2.750.00–1.980.12–4.73
Shots on target
59%
13%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.503.337.83safe2.64–6.361.59–5.074.22–11.44safer2.15–6.851.12–5.543.27–12.39
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction13.819.7823.59safe9.88–17.736.22–13.3516.11–31.08safer8.79–18.835.26–14.3114.06–33.13
Shots in box
76%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction8.895.6714.56safe5.95–11.832.99–8.358.93–20.18safer5.12–12.662.25–9.087.37–21.75
Blocked shots
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.482.846.33safe1.60–5.371.19–4.502.79–9.86safer1.06–5.910.70–4.991.76–10.90
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.324.349.67safe3.11–7.542.34–6.345.45–13.88safer2.54–8.111.81–6.884.35–14.99
Possession %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction48.0352.96safe41.24–54.8246.18–59.75safer39.57–56.4944.51–61.42
Passes
34%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction403451854safe336–470384–517720–988safer318–489367–535685–1023
Pass accuracy %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction66.4270.35safe62.39–70.4566.03–74.68safer61.10–71.7464.72–75.99
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3613.2826.64safe10.53–16.2010.33–16.2220.86–32.42safer9.77–16.969.58–16.9719.35–33.93
Offsides
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.171.894.06safe1.01–3.330.80–2.991.81–6.31safer0.71–3.630.51–3.271.22–6.90
Yellow cards
31%
19%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.042.614.65safe0.99–3.091.48–3.742.47–6.83safer0.73–3.361.19–4.031.92–7.39
Red cards
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.150.22safe0.00–0.230.00–0.340.00–0.57safer0.00–0.380.00–0.470.00–0.85
GK saves
31%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.473.135.61safe1.04–3.911.58–4.692.61–8.60safer0.65–4.301.15–5.121.80–9.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 0.57–2.50 0.31–2.75 | 0.89 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 2.43 0.60–4.25 0.12–4.73 | 52% 26% 22% |
| Shots on target | 4.50 2.64–6.36 2.15–6.85 | 3.33 1.59–5.07 1.12–5.54 | 7.83 4.22–11.44 3.27–12.39 | 59% 13% 27% |
| Total shots | 13.81 9.88–17.73 8.79–18.83 | 9.78 6.22–13.35 5.26–14.31 | 23.59 16.11–31.08 14.06–33.13 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 8.89 5.95–11.83 5.12–12.66 | 5.67 2.99–8.35 2.25–9.08 | 14.56 8.93–20.18 7.37–21.75 | 76% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 3.48 1.60–5.37 1.06–5.91 | 2.84 1.19–4.50 0.70–4.99 | 6.33 2.79–9.86 1.76–10.90 | 52% 16% 32% |
| Corners | 5.32 3.11–7.54 2.54–8.11 | 4.34 2.34–6.34 1.81–6.88 | 9.67 5.45–13.88 4.35–14.99 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 48.03 41.24–54.82 39.57–56.49 | 52.96 46.18–59.75 44.51–61.42 | — | 36% 59% |
| Passes | 403 336–470 318–489 | 451 384–517 367–535 | 854 720–988 685–1023 | 34% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.42 62.39–70.45 61.10–71.74 | 70.35 66.03–74.68 64.72–75.99 | — | 28% 67% |
| Fouls | 13.36 10.53–16.20 9.77–16.96 | 13.28 10.33–16.22 9.58–16.97 | 26.64 20.86–32.42 19.35–33.93 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.17 1.01–3.33 0.71–3.63 | 1.89 0.80–2.99 0.51–3.27 | 4.06 1.81–6.31 1.22–6.90 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.04 0.99–3.09 0.73–3.36 | 2.61 1.48–3.74 1.19–4.03 | 4.65 2.47–6.83 1.92–7.39 | 31% 19% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.47 1.04–3.91 0.65–4.30 | 3.13 1.58–4.69 1.15–5.12 | 5.61 2.61–8.60 1.80–9.41 | 31% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.